TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$606,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,572 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59a0…9a09backed Kings51c160,315$81,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,110.853560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Spurs50c108,768$53,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,808.0823147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs49c96,068$47,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,994.771,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs51c83,436$42,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,209.681,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings51c63,158$32,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,200.391,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings51c50,000$25,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,30048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings49c33,925$16,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,630.054,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Kings51c32,634$16,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,643.453447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Kings50c29,980$15,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,089.996546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Kings52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4007759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spurs50c15,471$7,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,735.524053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Spurs49c12,324$6,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,285.491662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Kings50c11,716$5,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,85831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Spurs49c10,078$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,139.739352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Spurs50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs49c9,908$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,016.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs49c7,681$3,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Spurs49c6,224$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,174.2425049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs51c6,083$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.551,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings49c6,000$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.0974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs49c5,559$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.931,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Kings51c5,280$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Spurs50c5,209$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.6115551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0537…13b6backed Spurs49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.892462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+68.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs48c4,166$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.321,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Kings51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Spurs49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs48c3,714$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.524,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs49c3,710$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs49c3,600$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.161,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Kings52c3,500$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Spurs49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78528245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Spurs49c3,370$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.5140350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Spurs51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1714753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs49c3,151$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Kings50c2,829$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.295547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs67c2,657$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kings51c2,200$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Spurs50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs50c1,999$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Spurs51c1,792$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.046439.1%25 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Spurs49c1,753$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.1159140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Kings49c1,709$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.338154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings50c1,699$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.473,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Spurs51c1,416$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.718143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Spurs49c1,405$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.553943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Spurs49c1,254$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3210651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs49c1,225$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spurs49c1,062$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6247856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Kings52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Spurs50c1,000$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.615240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings48c997.98$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs49c966.13$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.571,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Spurs49c959$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.091,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs50c946.96$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.2889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Spurs60c919.5$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.0328838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Kings52c909.22$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.25044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Kings50c793.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.864740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs49c606.31$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.222,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Kings49c600.72$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0924138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Spurs51c587.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Kings50c573.28$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6438750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Kings50c560$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28045151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Spurs48c542.66$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.181,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Kings49c510.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Kings40c501.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Spurs49c500.24$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Spurs50c483.24$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Spurs50c472.72$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3622154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kings51c447.06$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Spurs50c420.39$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1629646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Spurs49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1614152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Spurs50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Spurs50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20261957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Spurs50c396.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0816555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Kings51c389.13$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4643544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…b357backed Spurs50c382.92$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.277433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Kings52c376$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5228751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Spurs50c336.04$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Spurs50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Spurs54c288.65$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.784151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8698…871fbacked Spurs50c269.52$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.783855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Kings51c262.79$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.091,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Kings50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13023446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Kings49c256.63$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Spurs50c252$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.225042%21 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Kings52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Kings51c249$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.996949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Kings51c249$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9914145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Kings51c249$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.994240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Kings51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511642.2%49 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Kings51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Kings51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259841.8%41 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Kings51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs48c243.58$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.662,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Kings51c220.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2424247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Kings51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs50c210.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.551,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.