NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eda81f644d45000f56e2251ea0447d1ea429020191865b971e53244a265a93e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,426 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 158,315$73,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,835.18 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 133,530$71,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,494.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 51c | 25,000$12,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,749.41 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 16,645$8,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,709.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over | 48c | 8,901$4,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.32 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 45c | 7,240$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.99 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 5,776$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.37 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…a27bbacked Under | 48c | 5,724$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 5,535$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.12 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 49c | 5,055$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.1 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 2,450$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 45c | 2,317$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.76 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…e7e0backed Over | 52c | 2,213$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 51c | 2,115$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.95 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.37 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 2,000$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.59 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 1,840$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.24 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 1,806$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.64 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…1a13backed Over | 52c | 1,768$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…1501backed Over | 52c | 1,743$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 1,740$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.98 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 50c | 1,416$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 50c | 1,283$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.59 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 65c | 1,210$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.29 | 158 | 63.9%101 W · 57 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 1,192$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,018$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 868.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 793.77$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.55 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Under | 48c | 733.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 5c | 699.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 54c | 692.62$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.59 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 572.66$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.33 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 6c | 560$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Under | 67c | 456.42$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.21 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 60c | 445.45$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 45c | 439$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 426$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Under | 43c | 420.68$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Under | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 389$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Over | 61c | 329.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 34c | 318$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Under | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 294$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 281.73$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Over | 49c | 279.59$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 273.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 45c | 214.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 210.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 47c | 205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed Over | 51c | 204.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Under | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 196.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 195$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 191.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b357backed Over | 46c | 184.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 66c | 184.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Over | 50c | 184$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 53c | 176.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 171.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…5f98backed Under | 80c | 167.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 55c | 158$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 35c | 157$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 34c | 157$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…afacbacked Over | 53c | 154.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Under | 17c | 152$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…f351backed Under | 50c | 150.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 45c | 145.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 54c | 128.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 24c | 128$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…3f01backed Over | 64c | 124.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 26c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked Under | 26c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 57c | 117.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Over | 36c | 109.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked Under | 52c | 105.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 101.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. KingsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.