NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4201872764e1c77f3a21696afd3006a561afec4c332801bf9fb58f5b482e792f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,413 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 56c | 20,309$11,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,458.41 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Spurs | 42c | 17,382$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,081.55 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 58c | 13,800$7,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,988.08 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Spurs | 43c | 10,532$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,006.11 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 58c | 9,995$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs | 42c | 8,948$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.95 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 42c | 6,880$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.4 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Kings | 12c | 3,000$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 53c | 2,549$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 9c | 2,421$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 57c | 2,322$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.54 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Kings | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…4c8cbacked Spurs | 42c | 1,743$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Kings | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 57c | 1,160$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Spurs | 43c | 1,006$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.15 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Kings | 58c | 862.99$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.54 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7c…1182backed Kings | 58c | 605.17$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Kings | 58c | 603.43$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…371abacked Kings | 58c | 598.27$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…dcd6backed Kings | 58c | 539.65$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 55c | 380.92$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Spurs | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Kings | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Kings | 9c | 339.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Spurs | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Spurs | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 42c | 269.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Kings | 45c | 239.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Kings | 57c | 237.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Spurs | 42c | 236.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Kings | 59c | 203.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Kings | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…fa0dbacked Kings | 59c | 169.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Spurs | 43c | 165$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Spurs | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Kings | 34c | 157$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Spurs | 43c | 151.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Spurs | 42c | 148.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Kings | 58c | 145.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Spurs | 42c | 139.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Kings | 58c | 110.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Spurs | 42c | 110.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Spurs | 43c | 106.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Spurs | 42c | 104.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Kings | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 46c | 100.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Kings | 50c | 98.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Spurs | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…65b5backed Kings | 58c | 86.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Spurs | 58c | 86.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Kings | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Kings | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Kings | 59c | 84.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Spurs | 43c | 83.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Spurs | 43c | 82.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Spurs | 43c | 82.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed Spurs | 42c | 81.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Spurs | 42c | 79.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Kings | 49c | 73.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8344…a543backed Spurs | 56c | 66.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Kings | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…8679backed Kings | 25c | 59.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings | 27c | 59.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed Kings | 58c | 58.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Kings | 58c | 51.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Kings | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Spurs | 41c | 49.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Spurs | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Spurs | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Spurs | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Kings | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 33c | 40.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Kings | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…dd23backed Kings | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Kings | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed Kings | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…bcbdbacked Spurs | 42c | 33.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Kings | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Kings | 58c | 30.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Spurs | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…65bdbacked Spurs | 44c | 29.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…05eebacked Kings | 58c | 27.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…95a6backed Spurs | 42c | 26.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Kings | 58c | 22.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs | 66c | 21.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…d602backed Kings | 58c | 20.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. KingsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.