TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,462 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No74c12,760$9,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.152,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c11,295$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.581,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No77c7,387$5,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.013060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c6,584$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.896,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked No78c6,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+66.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No78c4,347$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.443256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No74c4,233$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.581392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes14c4,029$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5641533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c3,919$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.212,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No77c3,766$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.233145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes22c3,409$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes22c3,182$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes22c2,986$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes29c2,942$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.821,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes22c2,823$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.062420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No78c2,300$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.996043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42019735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes22c1,986$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4371040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c1,888$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes35c1,843$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No71c1,732$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.857176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No71c1,704$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.1742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes29c1,448$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.891,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes20c1,401$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.2210626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.92875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No78c1,280$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.631464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes14c1,211$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16972442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c1,015$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.972,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No78c961.4$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick30cpaid+125.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes33c653.09$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.131947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes34c650.87$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2830057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes32c613.3$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5527552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c582.19$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.511,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes22c485.14$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7330050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No77c455.84$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.844856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…85ccbacked Yes17c440$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes22c435.09$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes31c405.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes21c370.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed No54c333.65$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaaa…a1a1backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes23c333$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5917337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5abb…4bb4backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes22c299.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6625544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Yes34c295.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.391060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes35c286.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.024835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes33c261.61$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.333630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes13c255$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1518123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes34c243.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.923556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked No78c230$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.63151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes13c223.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No68c213.4$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Yes32c201.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.592638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes14c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Yes14c176.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.771233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes31c159.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.082634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes34c159$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4811549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c156.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.694,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…f579backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207718.2%14 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes22c153.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7732453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes11c153$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1861441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes21c142.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes21c137.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.789150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes22c134.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7181053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…7a07backed Yes22c131.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159828.6%28 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b88…6deabacked Yes23c125$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.751020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes26c117.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2215249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes34c111.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.995044%22 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes34c105.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8910655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes22c105.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1720027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes23c104.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2322335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2320958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3459645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7324146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.