Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa10fcfce475e48c50e187c7fd2c2a2068ce168c1fc0b92fc7bc37542872ea237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,603,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,603,685 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 61c | 200,000$122,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,900.79 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 168,131$72,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,117.72 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 57c | 157,068$88,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,924.01 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 86,505$48,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,693.22 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 38c | 80,000$30,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,600 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 57c | 77,077$43,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,734.05 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 70,070$42,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,723.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 40c | 44,459$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,458.76 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,399.98 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 44c | 32,557$14,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,317.03 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 42c | 25,552$10,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,819.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 40c | 25,000$9,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 60c | 25,000$15,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,099.98 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 39c | 22,788$8,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,903.56 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 34c | 20,190$6,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,421.29 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Yes | 20c | 18,558$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,846.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 57c | 18,040$10,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,366.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…2e9dbacked Yes | 39c | 17,058$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,407.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 40c | 16,433$6,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,794.29 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed No | 56c | 13,200$7,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,391.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 56c | 12,006$6,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 39c | 11,500$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,015.11 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 56c | 11,368$6,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,366.05 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 47c | 10,686$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.44 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 46c | 10,435$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.78 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 10,071$7,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,418.83 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.04 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.98 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 62c | 7,864$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 7,731$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.61 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 46c | 7,691$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,153.3 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.98 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 43c | 6,744$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 47c | 6,307$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.73 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 61c | 5,849$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.46 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 0c | 5,830$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 5,418$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.96 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 5,351$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.69 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 56c | 4,220$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 49c | 4,010$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.92 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 34c | 3,773$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.73 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,763$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.62 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 28c | 3,565$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.63 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…5a77backed No | 6c | 3,439$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 47c | 3,213$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.02 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 40c | 3,125$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 54c | 3,025$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.72 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 38c | 3,006$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.03 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,195$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.84 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e1…f4f9backed Yes | 47c | 2,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 57c | 2,072$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.6 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 43c | 2,053$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.53 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc142…0f64backed No | 5c | 1,970$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 1,832$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.12 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 1,822$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.48 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 58c | 1,765$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…1fbdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,732$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 44c | 1,702$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.34 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 23c | 1,694$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.93 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 43c | 1,502$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.4 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 32c | 1,365$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.34 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes | 41c | 1,305$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 51c | 1,305$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.09 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 44c | 1,278$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.72 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,264$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.32 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 40c | 1,129$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.23 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 54c | 1,064$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.55 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 41c | 1,039$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 41c | 983.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.13 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 60c | 965.85$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 55c | 938$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.73 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 33c | 917.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 41c | 915.95$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.41 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.05 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 26c | 900$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…155dbacked Yes | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 40c | 848.73$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.24 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Yes | 71c | 805.16$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 58c | 787.78$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.91 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2026backed Yes | 20c | 716.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 37c | 704.3$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.54 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked No | 60c | 701$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.