TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,852 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c53,606$14,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,508.466,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No71c31,820$22,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,227.726857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No67c15,500$10,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c9,958$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.571,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c9,194$6,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.7751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes33c7,839$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.912,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes27c6,846$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.6246943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No67c5,328$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.36966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No73c3,067$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.989646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed No64c2,921$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.031566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacc…2d4fbacked Yes1c2,232$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.331952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c1,932$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.621,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes15c1,584$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes2c1,550$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306225.8%16 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No66c1,345$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.637227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c1,295$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes2c1,240$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2428633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes22c1,137$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1842043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes31c1,115$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3417327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5285…99a1backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2906055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes26c660.41$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.311,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed No65c619.99$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+167.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes33c611.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e66…680dbacked No66c530.3$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.32638.5%10 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1304369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes32c499.55$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f65…4875backed Yes58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe473…755abacked No67c392.54$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.54875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes29c349.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.511923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No46c330.25$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes34c319.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No71c309.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Yes30c300.1$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.031428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes27c300$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013337.6%50 W · 83 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed No41c292.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked No72c280$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.44065%26 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Yes36c279.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.675754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7825057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c273.96$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.952,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes10c254.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.530059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes30c249.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.992825%7 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.126344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Yes8c235.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…1c3ebacked Yes30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes26c232.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes31c218.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2220758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5823353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes38c198.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7527227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes26c198$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4813939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes36c190.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Yes58c190.79$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.664835.4%17 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41f3…d0aabacked Yes10c190.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Yes36c183.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8acc…1047backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes29c165$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.854355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf08…b2b1backed Yes7c163.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.858764.4%56 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011044.5%49 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb74d…3f69backed Yes59c144.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.44757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c144.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8375850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes35c142.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.959534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe400…9aa9backed Yes36c136.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Yes29c126.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.934551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No65c121.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5d…df35backed No43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa2…8cebbacked Yes38c105.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc735…b72abacked Yes14c105.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…ad74backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd069…d068backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No70c99.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.995263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No72c98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.441,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No70c96.39$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7627051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa073…652dbacked Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243129%9 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fc2…4abebacked Yes34c73.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…57a4backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9530…ce5abacked Yes30c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes26c66.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes26c66.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.247540%30 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Yes29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No71c59.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.420763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bd…1d46backed No42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.522356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes59c56.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.339455.3%52 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.