Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16cd39d1284a937ae2f36c18f064f17301787b0a2cf073872ee71857153fc763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 59,319$24,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,440.42 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 28,075$14,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,863.12 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 40c | 23,734$9,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,493.8 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 41c | 23,430$9,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,584.54 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 42c | 13,803$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 13,109$7,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.74 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 61c | 11,752$7,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,571.53 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 1c | 10,858$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 9,425$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.01 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 39c | 7,793$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 40c | 7,370$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 58c | 6,902$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.84 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 5,987$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.5 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 42c | 4,917$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.03 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 49c | 4,122$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 42c | 4,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 3,860$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 24c | 3,750$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 21c | 3,450$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 3,396$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 3,120$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.4 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yes | 77c | 2,890$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.83 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 61c | 2,644$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.04 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5e…7131backed Yes | 39c | 2,588$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,573$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.39 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 42c | 2,461$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 58c | 2,423$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 2,406$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.2 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed No | 41c | 2,398$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…dd9bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,143$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 24c | 2,072$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.17 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 37c | 1,999$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.68 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 60c | 1,839$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.08 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 22c | 1,792$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.44 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked No | 43c | 1,779$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 60c | 1,740$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed05…6d34backed Yes | 58c | 1,708$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed No | 50c | 1,690$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.37 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 38c | 1,529$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 65c | 1,528$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.88 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 66c | 1,519$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 42c | 1,456$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 59c | 1,441$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.66 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 22c | 1,379$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 24c | 1,321$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.76 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.55 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 42c | 1,178$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Yes | 34c | 1,161$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed Yes | 33c | 1,054$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 36c | 1,044$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.33 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 42c | 1,002$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 37c | 965.69$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.18 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 57c | 950.53$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.38 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 24c | 937.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Yes | 59c | 888.14$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…8a04backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 25c | 806.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 39c | 747.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.73 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 56c | 705$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 40c | 703.4$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.36 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f90…153dbacked Yes | 38c | 691.57$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 13c | 683.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 42c | 652.38$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a81…5b3fbacked Yes | 58c | 637.93$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 40c | 622.69$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.07 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 36c | 600$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…aaa0backed Yes | 69c | 566.89$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 46c | 544.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.04 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 59c | 542.37$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 43c | 534.86$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed Yes | 60c | 533.33$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed Yes | 60c | 533.33$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Albania win on 2026-03-26?No won
- Will Poland vs. Albania end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.