TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Poland vs. Albania end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c25,153$6,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,668.81,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No74c6,593$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.124940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c3,807$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.014,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No73c3,632$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.691258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No74c3,554$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.11250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c3,535$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.6737144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8104751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No79c2,858$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.5674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes25c2,850$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70410548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+65.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No74c2,497$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.165541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No74c2,297$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.312554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b18…cbe3backed No58c2,188$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.731668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x647e…dd9bbacked Yes49c2,059$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes12c1,720$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.93644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes27c1,050$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.523240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes14c1,038$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8522337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No75c1,035$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5616341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Yes15c1,035$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.79425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.992343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes26c896.3$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+184.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x014a…aa8dbacked Yes11c857.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Yes29c766$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes34c737.85$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.873243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No60c718.68$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4717569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-70.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes27c599.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No69c543$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes23c519$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.377236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No73c454.1$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.613941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No73c454.07$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c416.14$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.181,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ab…9924backed Yes25c397.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No72c393.26$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0750850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e78…1a6fbacked No73c393.15$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.156852.9%36 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes26c390$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb5c…ae4ebacked Yes28c389.56$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e0…9a50backed Yes14c378.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c350.05$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5922656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No69c339.48$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes33c316.01$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.332626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No76c302.9$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2123749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Yes20c299.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes15c299.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.67922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-59.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Yes35c283.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f9…aa84backed Yes28c282.15$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241c…3d77backed Yes27c272.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes35c265.79$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.952,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Yes27c262.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.811346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No73c257.53$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.531844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes22c254.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8123738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fa…19f2backed No73c251$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.77540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…6f84backed No73c248$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e5…878abacked No73c241$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568e…65e6backed No73c240$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c232.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.334,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa0…4c98backed No73c232$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes33c231.93$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2514323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes28c222$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1648140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6833555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2861…656dbacked No73c215$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1645…f3dbbacked No73c205$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x874b…6acfbacked No73c192$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.239145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes39c186.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0946536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked No74c177.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.113652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed No55c158$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.642347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca91…1907backed Yes28c156.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes53c154.72$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No73c152.72$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.232040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No78c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7514949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508160.5%49 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75b6…8502backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec2…4035backed Yes14c140.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207518.7%14 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x826c…1468backed No73c138.2$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes32c134.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.292,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes14c134.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.897240.3%29 W · 43 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d04…8859backed Yes15c133.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20240%0 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d7…0b1cbacked Yes28c132$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc2…a44abacked Yes27c132$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa4…3b47backed No73c130.02$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed Yes16c124.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa555…20babacked No73c122.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Yes27c122.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…d833backed No73c121.34$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f4…c234backed Yes33c120.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…0220backed Yes27c116$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b6…e72bbacked No73c114.76$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes18c107.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3116116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xab45…fee3backed Yes14c106.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No73c103.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0168141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334035%14 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715128.5%43 W · 108 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.