TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$903,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $903,525 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed No56c139,540$78,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,433.36857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes49c100,824$49,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,384.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c77,558$34,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,217.441,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No51c63,300$32,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,0172657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No55c56,600$31,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,477.699856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c39,501$16,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,321.416,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes48c24,753$11,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,787.563740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes45c23,880$10,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,657.161,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes43c21,133$9,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,054.6351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.996746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3504148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No56c14,545$8,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.9418958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes33c10,102$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.466134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes31c10,015$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,067.597548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9005655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No51c9,700$4,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,752.8818433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked No51c9,552$4,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,680.481250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c7,682$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.252,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed No51c6,669$3,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes22c5,999$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.2611828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed No52c5,800$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes35c5,716$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.639451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c5,290$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.4656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c5,160$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.781,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1505851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3002646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes49c4,491$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.5928242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No51c4,300$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+99.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No55c4,275$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.6577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5059272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes45c3,412$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.2146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No51c3,400$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6661376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba53…349bbacked Yes44c3,386$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes27c3,214$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.4736462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No70c3,146$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.3442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes48c3,062$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.7615534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9911349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c2,953$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.34,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa398…80afbacked Yes29c2,757$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No54c2,692$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.573842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75c2…b8b5backed Yes9c2,257$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0651…0711backed Yes44c2,005$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No69c1,720$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.6427141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes39c1,697$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.9925225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c1,603$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.62,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes47c1,564$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9835652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64533057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes35c1,352$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.5549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No51c1,275$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.519153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes35c1,236$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3728824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes37c1,200$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4396549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes48c1,114$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.944447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes48c1,060$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.6610144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No58c1,007$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.644835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed No77c1,003$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.692560%15 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c999.97$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No55c995.54$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.994369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.394755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked Yes49c854.1$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f36…ba8cbacked Yes25c792$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes46c760.6$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4419632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes49c740.82$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30123531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Yes44c618.53$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.192347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked No58c606.27$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.343540%14 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes34c582.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes52c581.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes8c569.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3110924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes44c568.68$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3918562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes45c553.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0711450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf14d…46c5backed Yes25c520$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+68.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes43c510.25$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1313327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes37c504.11$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2157268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3383…b7debacked Yes15c469.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…f11abacked No53c445.15$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Yes43c444$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.922347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c433.31$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.661,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes19c421.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7610253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c370.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes18c356.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504030%12 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes30c328.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1210048%48 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa40b…3418backed Yes25c324$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6732822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12315245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.