Champions League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e5a87afef5a286ac9c62afabf6b901ec65ef9ec66d90f4e4dbb99b95c743aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,077,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,077,218 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefbc…f9a2backed Yes | 19c | 500,000$95,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 19c | 112,333$21,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,343.3 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 91,744$12,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,672.57 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed No | 80c | 72,176$57,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,435.19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 19c | 41,471$7,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,879.47 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 29,159$5,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.08 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 2c | 22,973$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.45 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 1c | 20,967$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,911$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Yes | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 18c | 18,382$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.81 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 19c | 15,789$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 18c | 14,720$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 10c | 14,471$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.35 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 17c | 12,221$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.09 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…90ccbacked Yes | 8c | 12,215$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…1603backed Yes | 18c | 11,111$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 18c | 10,270$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.47 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 9,338$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.61 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed Yes | 18c | 8,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 8c | 7,382$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.02 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 21c | 7,011$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…b3c1backed Yes | 2c | 6,701$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 8c | 5,555$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.36 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 9c | 5,468$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.13 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 10c | 5,354$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.68 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Yes | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 20c | 5,153$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…8be9backed Yes | 0c | 5,095$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 22c | 5,045$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 4,588$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.41 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 19c | 4,371$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…ce0ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,963$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…3d2bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,635$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.07 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…71d6backed Yes | 19c | 3,526$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…9322backed No | 77c | 3,338$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 8c | 3,243$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,050$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 7c | 3,027$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…7680backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…85e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,677$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,644$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 0c | 2,393$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes | 19c | 2,308$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.7 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 2,174$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 15c | 2,131$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.13 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked Yes | 1c | 2,105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…803abacked Yes | 1c | 2,091$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 1c | 2,053$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Yes | 1c | 2,007$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 18c | 1,903$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.52 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 19c | 1,903$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.52 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,866$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…349fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,853$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,850$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.98 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,849$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.87 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 16c | 1,738$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9463…6a9ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 19c | 1,577$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.85 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 21c | 1,564$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.58 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Yes | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…49d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,455$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes | 3c | 1,432$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Yes | 4c | 1,413$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…98cebacked Yes | 18c | 1,405$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,324$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…1257backed Yes | 2c | 1,313$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…f235backed Yes | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 75c | 1,222$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.69 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes | 17c | 1,210$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a48…28a8backed Yes | 16c | 1,209$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…afd0backed Yes | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…8b85backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 1,182$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,181$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,171$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.