Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68683aab723733cdc03f1bf6a1b9758baad063800bd57a18cbcd29e0bf863950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madrid CFof Manchester City FC, Real Madrid CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,856,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,856,191 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8372…5223backed Real Madrid CF | 54c | 541,043$290,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250,753.44 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 507,265$236,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236,062.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 246,569$115,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,887.43 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Real Madrid CF | 52c | 114,332$59,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,502.1 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 90,000$42,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,299.78 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Real Madrid CF | 53c | 73,492$38,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,733.86 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid CF | 54c | 57,605$30,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,661.62 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 48,002$22,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,624.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 35,413$16,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,644.33 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 25,147$13,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,316.13 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Real Madrid CF | 53c | 24,277$12,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.41 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Real Madrid CF | 55c | 24,000$13,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,820 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 22,856$10,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,513.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 22,838$10,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,505.48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Manchester City FC | 46c | 18,669$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,670.17 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Real Madrid CF | 53c | 13,475$7,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 13,159$6,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 12,500$6,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Real Madrid CF | 55c | 11,703$6,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,293.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF | 63c | 11,390$7,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.5 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Real Madrid CF | 54c | 11,112$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Real Madrid CF | 54c | 10,889$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 9,818$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.77 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Real Madrid CF | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 8,455$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…5859backed Manchester City FC | 7c | 8,005$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 7,986$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Real Madrid CF | 53c | 7,375$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.75 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Real Madrid CF | 52c | 7,048$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Real Madrid CF | 53c | 6,385$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.95 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 6,238$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Real Madrid CF | 52c | 6,121$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Real Madrid CF | 55c | 6,060$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Real Madrid CF | 52c | 5,854$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Real Madrid CF | 52c | 5,439$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Real Madrid CF | 52c | 5,233$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 5,052$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Manchester City FC | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.94 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…709ebacked Real Madrid CF | 52c | 4,888$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 4,749$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Manchester City FC | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…b126backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 4,260$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Real Madrid CF | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Real Madrid CF | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Real Madrid CF | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.98 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Real Madrid CF | 62c | 3,970$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 3,931$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.71 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Real Madrid CF | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…a4d5backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 3,647$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 3,440$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.65 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…437fbacked Real Madrid CF | 52c | 3,288$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Real Madrid CF | 54c | 3,090$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.39 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 2,964$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.02 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 2,891$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Real Madrid CF | 54c | 2,830$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.35 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 2,804$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Real Madrid CF | 52c | 2,771$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 2,595$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.01 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 2,321$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.27 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +48%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 1,973$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.55 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…2ee1backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 1,929$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 1,895$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.61 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…9d0dbacked Real Madrid CF | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c0…1f1cbacked Real Madrid CF | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Real Madrid CF | 54c | 1,850$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…3478backed Real Madrid CF | 54c | 1,832$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Real Madrid CF | 52c | 1,781$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.79 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Real Madrid CF | 52c | 1,774$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 1,747$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 1,736$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.86 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 1,701$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…de8ebacked Manchester City FC | 48c | 1,639$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Manchester City FC | 6c | 1,575$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 1,516$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…4dffbacked Real Madrid CF | 53c | 1,485$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Real Madrid CF | 54c | 1,473$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.76 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 1,469$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Real Madrid CF | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 1,310$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.9 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Real Madrid CF | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked Real Madrid CF | 55c | 1,176$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 1,165$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 1,124$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.72 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 1,116$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090d…8265backed Real Madrid CF | 53c | 1,109$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 1,094$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.61 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.