Champions League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793aa80f599d9a582850c82c369620734409e879dc57052a501ce41ad3c60c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,430 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 8c | 18,689$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 29c | 7,829$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.61 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 27c | 6,800$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 71c | 5,846$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.1 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 29c | 3,749$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.89 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 19c | 2,676$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 71c | 2,100$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.89 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 26c | 1,907$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.85 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 1,797$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.52 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Under | 80c | 1,653$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.63 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 27c | 1,648$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 27c | 1,361$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Under | 73c | 1,092$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 32c | 782.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…6f0abacked Under | 79c | 650$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 70c | 602$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…8f3abacked Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 27c | 497.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked Under | 74c | 486.49$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Under | 79c | 405$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Under | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 73c | 342.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 74c | 336.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under | 78c | 319.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 23c | 299.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…0fdabacked Under | 76c | 211.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 204.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…c645backed Under | 65c | 193.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 74c | 192.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 73c | 166.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 26c | 146.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…6e67backed Under | 75c | 137.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…9967backed Under | 73c | 137.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 73c | 135.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 28c | 126.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 73c | 126$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 77c | 118.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa8…541dbacked Over | 28c | 118.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 26c | 117.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 24c | 106.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde42…e01bbacked Over | 29c | 103.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +84%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf450…9817backed Under | 70c | 95.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Under | 80c | 88.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 20c | 82.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 28c | 80.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 80.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 214 | 16.8%36 W · 178 L | -38.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f8…8630backed Under | 74c | 74.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 27c | 67.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…821cbacked Over | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 73c | 52.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…4c1bbacked Over | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 24c | 47.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13f…7682backed Under | 78c | 45.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…0333backed Under | 78c | 44.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…9586backed Under | 71c | 43.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Under | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 27c | 40.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc437…0f42backed Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…e809backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 31c | 37.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…387cbacked Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +103%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 72c | 30.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 72c | 26.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Under | 76c | 22.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…f72abacked Under | 77c | 20.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 73c | 20.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…94ffbacked Under | 75c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 76c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 72c | 17.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Under | 78c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Under | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f1…d7c3backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.