Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473b6e8fc9f7669cbe3411fa6281ac0853af43851cde48fc4d0a07838b683bab

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $661,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under	53c	157,659$83,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,607.05	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under	54c	92,505$49,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,552.5	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-5.4wins	-0.19per pick	57cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	47c	53,128$24,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,950.55	264	45.8%121 W · 143 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	52c	44,746$23,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,478.3	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over	47c	23,739$11,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,058.95	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over	45c	22,450$10,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,102.47	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over	46c	21,991$10,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,115.76	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	47c	21,000$9,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,870	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under	53c	20,944$11,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,843.68	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	46c	17,896$8,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,232.02	260	47.7%124 W · 136 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over	46c	17,002$7,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,820.93	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over	48c	16,146$7,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,764.08	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over	46c	15,000$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,900	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	47c	14,871$6,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,990.46	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-9.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	47c	14,325$6,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,742.89	161	44.1%71 W · 90 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	46c	13,691$6,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,297.99	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Over	47c	12,749$5,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,992.01	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	53c	12,713$6,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,035.86	343	42.3%145 W · 198 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over	48c	12,500$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under	54c	12,017$6,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,527.67	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under	53c	11,128$5,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,230.3	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over	48c	10,696$5,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,134	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	46c	10,341$4,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,756.86	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,699.99	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,599.98	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Over	51c	10,000$5,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,097.82	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Over	47c	9,740$4,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,576.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over	50c	7,777$3,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,888.5	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under	49c	7,600$3,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,863.99	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Over	46c	7,500$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,450	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Under	55c	6,582$3,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,961.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	5,259$2,858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401.43	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,299.94	285	43.9%125 W · 160 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over	30c	4,999$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.72	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under	53c	4,627$2,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,174.83	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under	53c	4,545$2,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,136.28	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.9wins	-0.39per pick	49cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed Over	48c	4,168$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.58	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	47c	4,000$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,879.99	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over	47c	3,687$1,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,732.89	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-8.6wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under	45c	2,844$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560.81	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under	54c	2,830$1,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.6	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	47c	2,793$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.33	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under	54c	2,600$1,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,204	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under	52c	2,222$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066.56	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	46c	2,180$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.8	97	57.7%56 W · 41 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over	48c	2,176$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	47c	2,103$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.8	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	102	32.4%33 W · 69 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over	51c	1,959$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf58c…4dffbacked Under	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.79	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+77.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	45c	1,880$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	131	34.4%45 W · 86 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over	46c	1,841$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.05	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+78%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Over	46c	1,658$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.09	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over	60c	1,656$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under	70c	1,612$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.72	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c52…5859backed Over	5c	1,500$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.04	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	29cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over	46c	1,500$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.48	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Over	22c	1,395$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over	46c	1,250$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over	42c	1,216$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.6	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe204…0ca8backed Under	53c	1,087$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.76	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under	55c	1,045$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.45	82	41.5%34 W · 48 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Over	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over	46c	1,020$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac14…ad9fbacked Over	50c	1,008$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Under	53c	999.98$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.99	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over	48c	918.65$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.95	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over	47c	900$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over	48c	887.6$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.05	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over	51c	886.65$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	220	54.1%119 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over	46c	869.57$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	821.26$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.83	394	43.1%170 W · 224 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	47c	712.39$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.82	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	47c	700$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under	52c	673.08$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.08	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+3.9wins	+0.26per pick	61cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	46c	652.17$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	122	42.6%52 W · 70 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over	49c	628.24$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.84	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	53c	614.05$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.6	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over	51c	588.14$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.95	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Under	73c	562.44$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.86	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+31%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over	49c	555.38$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.37	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under	56c	535.97$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.83	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	47c	531.91$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over	47c	530.42$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.2	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.16per pick	48cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over	42c	499.98$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.99	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over	48c	499.97$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.99	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over	46c	489.02$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.17	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	53c	471.7$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.7	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under	54c	466.45$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.37	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	-12.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over	54c	462.96$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.37per pick	57cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Over	46c	461.69$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.73	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	49c	448.98$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.98	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5this page
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Manchester City FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event