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Champions League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,237 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked No42c116,491$49,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,382.131580%12 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+102.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbcb7…c1acbacked No0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c34,739$19,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,866.912,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes58c33,989$19,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,275.5228747.4%136 W · 151 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes60c13,083$7,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,233.0313245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c9,921$5,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.071,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes59c8,540$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes60c7,091$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.924628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed No42c5,440$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No40c5,310$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.951631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes62c4,839$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.814365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes58c4,791$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.425655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No39c4,715$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.0643427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No39c3,826$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.3126047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No40c3,219$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes59c3,041$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.361741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes62c3,020$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.436533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No42c2,961$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.564641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes61c2,341$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.842642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No37c2,161$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.6215650%78 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Yes59c2,045$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.45366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No40c1,787$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7152433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.148556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.927245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Yes73c1,643$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.612268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.242161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes66c1,586$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.5513349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No38c1,575$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.54156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3009…19a9backed Yes62c1,181$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes59c1,166$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.775459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+69%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No40c992.8$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.125448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No35c947.98$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.218241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No39c945$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8741551.1%212 W · 203 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No39c862.43$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.865424.1%13 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.335362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.67560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No41c742.61$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.715038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes61c733.21$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.211050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Yes59c717.19$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.051546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes53c707.42$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.563161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes59c701$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.0829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28713349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes62c679.29$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.362552%13 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Yes69c656$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.743056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Yes61c650$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No38c599.95$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.981926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Yes59c592$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.071963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes60c564.89$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8913261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No40c547$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.338336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x770d…ca11backed Yes60c539.85$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No43c513.93$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.436432.8%21 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f9b…8a91backed Yes60c503.3$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed No39c501.64$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.645036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc8f…429cbacked No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a78…4353backed Yes60c499.99$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes58c499.94$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.975550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed No43c498.66$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes61c492.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fa…323dbacked Yes61c491.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes62c484.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.035253.8%28 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No26c471.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7211843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes65c457.92$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3541743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No39c436.48$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0957347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49e…dc8bbacked No43c433$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.191225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc299…c1cfbacked Yes61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+108.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes59c400$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.53971.8%28 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes58c395.49$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes61c367.13$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.181942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x846d…31e3backed Yes60c366.67$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked No42c359.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.071947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes59c358.62$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.621464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a43…b334backed No41c358.36$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa44…73e5backed No41c353.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d44…c209backed Yes60c349.62$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…b50ebacked Yes60c346.16$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cde…610cbacked Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.332850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+96.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Yes60c331.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.843548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No26c330$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.021947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.466839.7%27 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes63c311.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.584533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked No34c303.29$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf4d…78f5backed No34c301.44$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+69.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12025859.7%154 W · 104 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205450%27 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Yes56c299.14$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes59c282.04$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2320643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes71c279.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes60c278.33$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.333464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes61c272.56$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6444837.7%169 W · 279 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked No38c269.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.