Fifa International · resolved market
Will Georgia vs. Israel end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e484acfcff7c9def7484091bffe0947c7dc9b3ceba68970967fdf267ae7f704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 1,275$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.56 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 27c | 1,149$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.43 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 844.6$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.84 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 740.45$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…3fb8backed Yes | 25c | 720$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 23c | 716.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.28 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 613.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 610.13$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes | 60c | 580$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 45c | 548.68$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 543$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.25 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 542$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.38 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…f749backed Yes | 38c | 529.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 25c | 430$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 413.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 43c | 396.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 60c | 391.41$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 361.11$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.26 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 291$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 286.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 259.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes | 63c | 250.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 13c | 226$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 222.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 69c | 218.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…cbe3backed No | 50c | 216.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 207.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 183.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 179.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 52c | 172.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 74c | 166.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed No | 73c | 164.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 70c | 145.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 70c | 145.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 27c | 114.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 114$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…afc9backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed No | 74c | 109.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 78c | 108.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 106.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Yes | 63c | 103.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…372bbacked Yes | 74c | 96.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 75c | 77.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 75.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 43c | 67.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…5c11backed Yes | 23c | 49.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 26c | 41.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…d6ddbacked Yes | 57c | 34.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 32.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 20.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 64c | 20.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 77c | 14.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 79c | 12.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia vs. Israel end in a draw?this page
- Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26?No won
- Will Israel win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.