Fifa International · resolved market
Will Israel win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17739bea90aa36659351272f358fd320c651e98cc477f9ae826f3b02e638696a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 6,550$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.15 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 20c | 4,000$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.3 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 3,921$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 77c | 2,529$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.98 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 24c | 2,100$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,249$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.9 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 1,233$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…9769backed Yes | 24c | 1,163$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…f555backed Yes | 2c | 1,080$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…209fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 889.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 29c | 806.15$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Yes | 23c | 776.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 27c | 632.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…b795backed Yes | 22c | 493.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 426.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 399.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed No | 79c | 381.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 4c | 367$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 11c | 316.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 23c | 297.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…cdd8backed Yes | 26c | 284.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Yes | 26c | 280.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 22c | 277.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 23c | 276.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 266.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…5b05backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…0d19backed Yes | 23c | 248.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 21c | 238.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 235.46$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…758bbacked Yes | 13c | 231.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 24c | 222$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 212$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 189.4$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 25c | 189$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 76c | 187.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 77c | 185.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 25c | 180.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 7c | 165.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 159.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 80c | 157.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fed…7d75backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 149.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 26c | 148.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…ba9ebacked No | 78c | 140.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 18c | 139.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…439fbacked Yes | 24c | 131$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…856abacked No | 80c | 126.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 24c | 123.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 122.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…8c07backed Yes | 24c | 107$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 104.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…e791backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…d01cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…bda2backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…fb85backed No | 78c | 99.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 13c | 96.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…42e2backed No | 76c | 91.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…b560backed Yes | 25c | 86.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…5c11backed Yes | 29c | 83.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…05adbacked Yes | 24c | 83.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…b2d4backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…634cbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 78c | 80.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…c596backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 46c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 25c | 79.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…b7debacked Yes | 53c | 76.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…2188backed Yes | 29c | 76.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 77c | 75.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 68.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…a85ebacked Yes | 27c | 67.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…2d15backed Yes | 46c | 65.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…5697backed No | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…a3bfbacked Yes | 24c | 58.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d4…475bbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8a59backed Yes | 30c | 56.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Yes | 25c | 55.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…b1dcbacked No | 80c | 54.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 25c | 52.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…2807backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Georgia vs. Israel end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.