TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No69c15,847$10,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,937.313,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c14,827$11,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,346.9435942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes16c13,220$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.881136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes33c10,945$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.1729343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed Yes2c7,611$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.51216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c6,547$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.8537144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes23c4,498$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.2436850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes26c3,929$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.5876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes26c3,873$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes22c3,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80021140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No78c2,889$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.8317338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes62c2,685$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.181040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c2,660$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.041,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c2,560$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5d…807abacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes22c1,974$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.212352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes26c1,731$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes27c1,654$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.82,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c1,620$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.71,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes41c1,428$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5881850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3312554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes21c1,315$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4386455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes28c1,243$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8550850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b18…cbe3backed No64c1,242$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.561668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Yes23c1,170$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.15635.7%20 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…4dc4backed Yes29c1,068$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes27c1,061$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes30c1,004$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006637.9%25 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No78c752.41$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5322656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbaa…7688backed Yes29c695.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c690.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.664,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked Yes23c600$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes14c600$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+126.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No58c585.28$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8216341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No59c567.52$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5345947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes25c560$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+107.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes20c523.81$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Yes20c514.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed No80c509.5$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.665655.4%31 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes16c499.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2923738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes39c461.65$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.662,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes28c386.21$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9176…0468backed Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…2020backed Yes18c327$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.862334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed No79c313.04$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.745050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes25c306.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.512142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7221444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes30c299.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c285.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.914,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Yes27c269.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.763234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c266.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.043,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes27c252.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.153823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes24c246.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0724653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes19c241.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.827757.1%44 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes30c234.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8315747.8%75 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes25c224.57$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.142,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes21c223.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479040%36 W · 54 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes33c212.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702931%9 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes48c210.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015151%26 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb05a…363ebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes26c203.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5354917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Yes25c201.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.66350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes23c190.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.538040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes26c187.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.74337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes27c183.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.299334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bf…4bebbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab7…d144backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No76c172$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.626347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No75c168$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.849145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Yes25c167.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2223355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes31c165.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9158642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Yes23c163.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7943653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Yes27c160.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.282339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes19c155.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.083852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c152.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3639621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Yes27c148.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407634.2%26 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938163%51 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed No74c143.67$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3515448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c143.3$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.013,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Yes10c143.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0cf…8aa5backed Yes57c141.72$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Yes61c139.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.363823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.