TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,341,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,431,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,341,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 923 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5919…95acbacked Yes50c192,854$97,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,610.8410234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c189,907$94,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,935.6817338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No52c120,773$62,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,389.572259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No52c71,558$37,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,261.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes53c61,006$32,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,784.9535942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ce…ed13backed Yes66c60,000$39,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,241.285100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c58,623$31,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,439.731,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No49c57,703$28,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,253.0836850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No53c44,345$23,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,302.911450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c33,957$16,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,931.2576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed No53c32,627$17,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,404.95050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No54c27,908$14,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,9725655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes49c23,463$11,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,003.733644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c19,678$9,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,268.974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No29c19,633$5,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,751.691163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes39c17,858$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,858.021136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c17,207$8,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,826.231,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No50c16,103$7,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,979.3810558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c16,018$7,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,381.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes78c12,571$9,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.416237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c11,381$5,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,448.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed No48c11,160$5,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,322650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed No51c10,500$5,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,35520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes48c9,248$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,768.835952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No47c7,462$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No56c7,304$4,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,090.39812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No54c7,298$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,964.163141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-74.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No47c6,862$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2007452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes45c6,817$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.395839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c6,774$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.737144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes47c6,648$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.72236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No56c6,413$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,591.385653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed No47c6,140$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No50c5,502$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.782070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No49c5,447$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.998247.6%39 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes48c5,229$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.8421343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes38c5,166$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.469145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No52c5,000$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.983138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes57c4,642$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.0829646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No51c4,533$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31223949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No52c4,500$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3208357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes45c4,472$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.972142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes48c4,431$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No50c4,217$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.1121140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes46c4,044$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.5122448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5d…807abacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1602454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…c964backed Yes48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Yes51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.571450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8229…598fbacked Yes26c3,894$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes46c3,851$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.2613843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes38c3,704$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.72222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c3,576$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.952,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes50c3,570$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.791450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No52c3,393$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.6886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No47c3,389$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.4646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.334936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a9…5e9ebacked Yes47c3,204$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.921435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5604367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No50c3,000$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.93,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No51c2,952$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.0721444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes47c2,862$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.691827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked No51c2,814$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No54c2,760$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4965635.7%20 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes48c2,760$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.64850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34c…b282backed Yes44c2,708$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.51650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No37c2,671$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.8429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes30c2,662$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.496347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Yes60c2,586$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No49c2,567$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.9521029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No51c2,552$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.150850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes49c2,551$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.552352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…af42backed Yes79c2,535$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No54c2,508$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.287045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No50c2,483$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.7714040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed No8c2,277$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.581216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed No45c2,267$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.717656.6%43 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Yes44c2,261$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes30c2,218$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.514641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes46c2,175$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.948561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No57c2,106$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No51c2,090$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.970750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes40c2,006$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.9942043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b7…ef2dbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.994042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.972343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No47c1,995$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.487859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes50c1,994$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.2922749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Yes28c1,981$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.65633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…695abacked Yes65c1,964$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes47c1,958$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.13823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes46c1,900$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0256656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.