Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0629d2ccc609b22b09f2a559967040379d2bb708663e181bc499eda9bec7c7bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,542,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,542,069 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,647 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 55c | 527,942$287,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,115.61 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked No | 54c | 363,996$195,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,188.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 47c | 302,448$141,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,517.49 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 199,384$93,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,337.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 198,444$92,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,507.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 56c | 175,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,999.82 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 164,173$90,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,676.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 48c | 156,711$74,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,700.6 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 59c | 110,223$65,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,207.32 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 45c | 109,118$49,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,003.1 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 56c | 89,286$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,285.71 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 83,593$44,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,810.9 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 46c | 72,589$33,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,184.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 34c | 64,200$21,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,491.88 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Yes | 47c | 62,699$29,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,468.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 55c | 61,732$33,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,779.31 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Yes | 45c | 59,038$26,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,567.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 42c | 54,779$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,999.9 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 37,098$19,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,455.69 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 53c | 32,225$17,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,189.86 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 71c | 28,943$20,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,549.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 44c | 28,019$12,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,328.36 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…120ebacked Yes | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Yes | 47c | 24,475$11,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,503.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…ad06backed No | 53c | 24,000$12,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,179.87 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Yes | 44c | 22,838$10,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,133.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 53c | 22,026$11,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,252.18 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 54c | 21,111$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,711.11 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…ed71backed No | 54c | 21,084$11,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,698.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 19,688$8,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,334.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5601…f328backed Yes | 45c | 18,924$8,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,515.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 18,528$10,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 44c | 18,182$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 53c | 18,000$9,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,459.95 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 53c | 17,500$9,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195.71 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 54c | 16,984$9,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,812.66 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…84a7backed Yes | 46c | 16,005$7,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,442.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 53c | 15,742$8,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.17 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Yes | 46c | 15,446$7,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.95 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 54c | 15,000$8,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,959.78 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 53c | 13,989$7,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,551.6 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 51c | 13,937$7,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,138.8 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 54c | 13,204$7,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,102.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 46c | 11,947$5,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,495.85 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 53c | 11,719$6,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 46c | 11,224$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,162.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 57c | 10,038$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 54c | 10,000$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.95 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 9,292$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.59 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes | 47c | 8,503$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed Yes | 46c | 8,455$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 45c | 8,437$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.85 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 55c | 8,140$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…eecbbacked No | 28c | 8,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +250.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed No | 53c | 7,360$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 59c | 6,932$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.89 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 45c | 6,928$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 57c | 6,898$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.82 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 45c | 6,724$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.69 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Yes | 46c | 6,530$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 45c | 6,478$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.85 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Yes | 74c | 6,399$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 54c | 6,327$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.84 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 54c | 6,230$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.63 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 5,964$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.08 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 54c | 5,766$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.36 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Yes | 46c | 5,715$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.84 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Yes | 44c | 5,668$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.04 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 70c | 5,512$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.38 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 53c | 5,415$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.09 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 72c | 5,332$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.67 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked Yes | 46c | 5,330$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 56c | 5,330$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.29 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84a…eea7backed Yes | 45c | 5,127$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 44c | 4,994$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.51 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 47c | 4,894$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 37c | 4,613$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.77 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 45c | 4,603$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…7680backed Yes | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 76c | 4,104$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 72c | 4,067$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.12 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…aa8cbacked Yes | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 57c | 3,999$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.75 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.