Premier League · resolved market
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc415a380af8cbb7c8d24067cf6c4fd2bbf8bef770f671574bc3a04b40d16f9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,807 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 26c | 66,063$17,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,886.83 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 60,180$43,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,689.5 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 23,630$8,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,812.94 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 22,614$16,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,224 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 74c | 16,796$12,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,429.3 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 26c | 11,000$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130.82 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.88 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 26c | 9,615$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,115.38 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 8,637$5,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,732.45 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 27c | 8,015$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.66 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Yes | 39c | 6,962$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 27c | 6,116$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464.93 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes | 25c | 5,172$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 5,151$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 27c | 4,978$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.58 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 4,814$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.45 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 26c | 4,498$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Yes | 30c | 4,363$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 72c | 2,972$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.33 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 25c | 2,856$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,800$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…b3e0backed Yes | 47c | 2,659$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 51c | 2,562$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 73c | 2,403$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.41 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 2,203$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.67 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 31c | 2,000$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.98 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.92 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 55c | 1,936$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.41 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,865$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 10c | 1,832$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 60c | 1,677$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.68 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 26c | 1,639$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.06 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…2068backed Yes | 61c | 1,626$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 31c | 1,607$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.1 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 21c | 1,600$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Yes | 67c | 1,571$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 1,446$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.44 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 1,353$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.28 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 73c | 1,210$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,209$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.14 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Yes | 64c | 1,099$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 1,089$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.56 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Yes | 26c | 1,073$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.08 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed No | 41c | 1,062$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 74c | 1,023$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.12 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 984.38$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.66 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 27c | 969.63$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.83 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 79c | 912.84$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.14 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…4545backed Yes | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed No | 75c | 806.67$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…4138backed Yes | 37c | 803.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 79c | 791.25$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…ff3ebacked Yes | 34c | 789.42$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 55c | 775$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.51 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 76c | 773.32$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.19 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 72c | 762$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 718.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.92 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…9a6bbacked Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 30c | 693.62$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.62 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 22c | 684.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.47 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 74c | 675.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 65c | 664.33$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.02 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…77fdbacked No | 26c | 660.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 24c | 654.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 57c | 649.99$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.45 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 32c | 625.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.62 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 67c | 598.25$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.83 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Yes | 63c | 511.25$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 40c | 500$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…03a9backed Yes | 26c | 480.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 448.96$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.23 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 26c | 444$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.56 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 33c | 424.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 73c | 423.61$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.45 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 27c | 403.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.68 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 68c | 401.14$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 56c | 396$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 25c | 372$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 47c | 364.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes | 73c | 363.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 28c | 356.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.44 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 51c | 355$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 47c | 353.63$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 50c | 340$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yes | 26c | 330.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 42c | 330.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.47 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 72c | 310$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 21c | 306.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.