TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$461,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,993 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes13c54,804$7,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,599.966,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes17c30,287$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,287.215848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c22,846$12,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,674.94,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes17c14,053$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,689.721,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No52c10,235$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.321,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes6c7,751$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,251.4212532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes15c6,935$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.742,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked No7c6,381$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.112920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes33c6,158$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.425225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes17c5,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.996650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes15c4,406$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.3549254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes18c4,327$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.492835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes7c4,116$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,816.831,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes15c3,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.416230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Yes15c2,980$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+152.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc862…e047backed Yes21c2,759$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.641050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes5c2,585$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.434119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bce…f099backed Yes15c2,558$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes15c2,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1251435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No80c2,395$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.0942043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c2,188$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.9526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes10c2,124$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.9536462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes7c2,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8503237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c1,705$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.72,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes76c1,510$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.633339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes18c1,494$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.091,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes14c1,454$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.195942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c2…e120backed Yes11c1,365$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+208.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes6c1,332$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.661,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes15c1,302$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.591315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes16c1,258$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.4425544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes16c1,136$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.562828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes18c1,091$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.647440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82011746.2%54 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes16c1,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…d3dfbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9501216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid+79.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…c0f6backed Yes5c1,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9502944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes16c1,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes13c966.91$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.1849753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d6…0a88backed Yes5c960$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+273.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes18c944.44$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.443324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes11c919.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.237230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Yes10c846.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.673545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes15c833.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.3319826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c809.28$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1857150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes14c719.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.421250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes13c673.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.5517327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed Yes6c600$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+689.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes15c600$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104139%16 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Yes7c568.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.642429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+99.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes79c567.64$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5928736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No26c526.07$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8327552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yes10c507.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.141258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+107.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes17c500.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.123138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes11c500$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4451764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+61.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes12c500$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.711828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Yes5c500$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4752147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+145.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes15c440$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37412741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes10c405.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.261127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes17c399.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4825532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes70c393.05$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6243241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes15c380$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3234553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes13c373.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.256225.8%16 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes52c354.09$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.412239.3%48 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…e882backed Yes14c350$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.36837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes16c346$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.354440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes14c344.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.97741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Yes15c336.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.837037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes12c333.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3319244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3800…c45fbacked Yes16c332.19$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.04633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes15c329.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.886543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes17c329.63$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2430050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes12c328.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8813635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes6c311.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6423435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes18c310$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.21435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes16c300$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25325348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes15c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2553716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed No19c299.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed No18c299.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.610626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.711838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe710…d907backed Yes20c281.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb18d…43dbbacked No80c281.25$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes18c280$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.61428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes18c278.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.971827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x529c…4795backed Yes15c267.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.621637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Yes15c266.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.666238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes16c262.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.122335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes58c249.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.052955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes17c247.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4532453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes9c247.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.474445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed No51c245.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.734845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes15c237.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5120027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c08…5acabacked Yes18c233.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+293.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes17c225.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2620425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes18c222$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.046346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6f…8384backed Yes18c216.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Yes12c213.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.441513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.