TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,968,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,968,723 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 878 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e35…1fe1backed Yes64c1,705,598$1,085,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085,863.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes60c591,180$355,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355,957.8616040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c332,921$133,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,924.486,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes59c301,335$178,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178,201.827753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed No37c249,297$92,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157,057.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No36c199,981$72,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,645.3817557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No39c184,206$71,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,160.8411445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No41c178,892$73,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,556.283450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Yes63c160,578$101,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,163.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No38c142,940$53,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,022.5524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No38c139,007$52,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,562.5214450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c126,427$49,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,117.882,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No37c125,897$46,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,315.1110455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No37c94,250$34,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,377.58146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No37c92,408$34,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,217.113050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No37c73,250$26,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,265.4251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes62c71,515$44,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,439.2716651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No36c70,375$25,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,040.019141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No37c65,701$24,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,391.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c63,303$23,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,198.1531944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No41c53,414$21,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,528.113148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No40c50,700$20,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,311.47945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No37c49,425$18,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,196.0810335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes59c48,845$28,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,808.0415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No40c41,580$16,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,095.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c33,772$13,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,630.211,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No40c32,490$12,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,4943759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed No38c31,816$12,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,725.96445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No37c31,800$11,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,034250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c29,166$17,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,197.031,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No39c28,534$11,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,312.9921253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed No37c28,402$10,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,893.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+174%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes58c23,919$13,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,873.296857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No37c22,983$8,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,479.492466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+101.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No37c21,267$7,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,312.687544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No36c17,465$6,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,177.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+71.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97fb…354fbacked No39c16,857$6,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,282.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed No39c16,360$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,979.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No42c15,570$6,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,030.5110236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes59c15,331$9,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,045.230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed No39c15,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1501457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked No41c14,636$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,635.241560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No37c14,300$5,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0094652.2%24 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No40c12,072$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,191.673256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes61c11,158$6,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,806.5813444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No39c11,000$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7108453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c10,992$7,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,090.432,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No36c10,335$3,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,614.41376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No37c10,000$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,346.2114258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No58c9,652$5,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.828153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8946…aa24backed No40c9,320$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,617.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No42c9,256$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,406.3824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No37c9,234$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,848.893253.1%17 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed No37c8,970$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,695.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+59%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No41c8,900$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2512846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c7,849$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,963.364,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes63c7,500$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,72518948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No42c7,330$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,251.181861.1%11 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+62.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No41c7,000$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1309272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No78c6,833$5,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.945547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f2…65d8backed No41c6,761$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No36c6,350$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0641172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Yes63c6,103$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,86420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes39c6,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No40c5,400$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.939052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes69c5,232$3,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,592.3969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked No41c5,130$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+87.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9506248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed No37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1502050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No38c4,980$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.640046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe501…5c4fbacked No39c4,935$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c4,871$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.1384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No41c4,827$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.084748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No39c4,771$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.313369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No41c4,458$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.1175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No21c4,081$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.671,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3209256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No41c3,972$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.483842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No38c3,595$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.893145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes42c3,545$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.6628736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No37c3,500$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2056744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes58c3,395$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.8110144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc862…e047backed Yes79c3,386$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb18…6d4ebacked No39c3,298$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+132.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No39c3,270$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.883070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No40c3,116$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.9149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No40c3,100$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.999347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No41c3,078$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.021650%8 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No38c3,010$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.0123250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes58c3,000$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7452763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7701675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No41c2,837$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.364944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9107…46d6backed Yes0c2,761$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes58c2,648$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.811844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes61c2,459$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No37c2,432$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.439350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.