TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,615 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No44c13,519$5,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,569.813,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes58c7,553$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380.563135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c6,460$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.832,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c6,092$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.6791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No42c4,771$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.7938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes55c4,581$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes57c3,514$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.982250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes59c3,394$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004949%24 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes58c3,175$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8511741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No44c1,850$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Yes1c1,668$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.73258%2 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-86.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes59c1,462$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No43c1,458$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.736136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes50c1,347$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.742733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes28c860.08$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8211226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes61c817.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes28c775.04$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No42c712.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.092,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No43c710.93$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.5721835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Yes51c687.19$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.472142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes58c606.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes52c599.96$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No42c571.72$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.6870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No58c542.26$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8363857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes59c512.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.341435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked No51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Yes53c472.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes58c440.39$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25711536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes52c403.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2322352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes68c399.81$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Yes58c393.1$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes57c370$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.84537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d4f…4fe4backed Yes62c364.52$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No62c364.03$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2838453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes57c351.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes51c299.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No42c273.01$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.871,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes58c271.88$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes57c219.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No41c217.86$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5415846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bd…1f9cbacked Yes54c216.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Yes34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No50c192.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Yes58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes57c175.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.041428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1f…1b83backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes57c151.19$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.484643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes62c145.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+78.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes59c142.19$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8417447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Yes71c141.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0a…62acbacked No45c138$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Yes58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No44c136.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3417249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Yes58c129.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.53256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes59c103.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.795644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7264…a39cbacked Yes59c101.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes51c98.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No42c91.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8511643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed54…b090backed Yes57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd8…5335backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes57c87.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505738.6%22 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5daf…7d98backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013256.8%75 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes58c86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.883537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ff8…942fbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed No72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.433349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No44c77.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.127848.7%38 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes51c76.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2637750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6d…0508backed Yes59c74.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.623949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e8…7042backed Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Yes50c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbae…fbb5backed Yes55c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes24c64.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23212.5%4 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.