Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x110785d8cbf888146cb81183fa3d498a213b1b854f5da11adafe23a04183d672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,950 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 14,723$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 0c | 13,053$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 76c | 7,857$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 22c | 5,750$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.91 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 4,245$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.34 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…7be6backed Under | 0c | 4,095$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 19c | 3,911$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.42 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 78c | 3,205$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 77c | 2,908$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.69 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Under | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +903%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 17c | 1,866$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 77c | 1,234$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 78c | 1,232$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 69c | 817.01$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 699.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 78c | 567.46$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 25c | 505.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Over | 77c | 407.84$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 12c | 388.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 32c | 366.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 13c | 318.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 318.23$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 72c | 295.26$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 24c | 247.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 9c | 239.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 223.04$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 70c | 203$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under | 19c | 193.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 192.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 16c | 164.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 143.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 24c | 130.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…7a39backed Over | 77c | 130.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Under | 21c | 127.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 108.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…38fcbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 76c | 98.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 19c | 97.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…ae16backed Under | 25c | 90.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…22c9backed Over | 69c | 76.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…ac07backed Over | 75c | 65.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5192backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…be42backed Over | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 71c | 39.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 77c | 36.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Over | 78c | 36.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…0af8backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…a2f1backed Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…0662backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Over | 67c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…8182backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 77c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6e…23fdbacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 79c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…649dbacked Over | 76c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Over | 72c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…7df7backed Over | 65c | 15.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Over | 70c | 14.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 71c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.