TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7de…ac07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1989.5%17 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick77cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$21.4
Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.15
Capitals vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$24.86
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.15
Wild vs. Senators: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$25.83
Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$39.29
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$34.83
Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$37.03
Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$74.48
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$81.85
Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.08
Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$29.28
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$39.03
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24.77
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.01
Kings vs. Utah: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$23.42
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.47
Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$49.08
Senators vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.09
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.15
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$69.79
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$20.96
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.21
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.48
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.84
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$44.88
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$82.5
Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.9
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.33
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.31
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$43.24
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.56
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.45
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.26
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$75.41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$33.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.