Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb573456d2b8625e7421da8644e5102f20adaa5c8baa4c11a6163dd5183d2eec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,761 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 12,372$5,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,582.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 8,420$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 51c | 7,777$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.71 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 5,210$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.1 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 2c | 3,844$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 59c | 3,061$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 69c | 2,880$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 51c | 2,419$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 2,094$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.64 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 74c | 1,899$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.74 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 70c | 1,642$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 70c | 1,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Over | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 42c | 1,265$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Under | 48c | 1,058$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 51c | 972.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed Under | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…caeebacked Under | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 13c | 846.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 748.97$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.44 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 55c | 606.55$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…3680backed Over | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 74c | 557.44$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 35c | 541.77$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 53c | 536.06$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.46 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 41c | 517.07$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.57 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 67c | 437.06$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 42c | 424.65$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 8c | 420$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Under | 41c | 368.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 40c | 331$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 58c | 329.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 10c | 301.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under | 12c | 237.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 56c | 217$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 51c | 192.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 190$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 13c | 175.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 58c | 164.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 44c | 159.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 9c | 154.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 142.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d93abacked Over | 73c | 137.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 11c | 134.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Under | 41c | 122.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 120.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 119.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 100.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Over | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 76c | 98.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 51c | 97.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 72c | 82.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…804dbacked Over | 35c | 81.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +236%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 80.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 79.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 74.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 60c | 69.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff8…942fbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 42c | 65.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 63.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 60.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 67c | 59.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 57.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…ac07backed Over | 76c | 55.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 55.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked Over | 69c | 55.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.