TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,523 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under52c38,694$20,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,582.022161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under50c38,358$19,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,179.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c19,683$9,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,120.793,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under53c13,237$7,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,221.331963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c11,300$5,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over50c8,832$4,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,416333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…4788backed Over1c8,329$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-50%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over48c5,417$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Over48c5,135$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under58c4,111$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.271258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c3,776$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.1591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c2,337$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.5738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over50c2,300$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c2,045$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.142,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9404351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under59c1,719$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.733369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over30c1,650$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.961315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under65c1,540$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.642846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over50c1,233$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.511242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under68c1,113$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c1,073$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.657550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Under79c1,039$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.262147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Over49c883.39$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over47c814.89$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3924047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under80c784$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.82161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c768$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.932552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over33c757.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.994528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over35c712.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over46c590.79$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.764259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c583.33$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454250%21 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over46c441.64$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035836.2%21 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over48c440.44$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4110254.9%56 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under79c330.54$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7030…195ebacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over10c303.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3911443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c289.01$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.113040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191a…9d0dbacked Over50c276$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over48c272.62$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.933458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over17c235.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1438453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Over50c223.09$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.551346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over30c217.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2621835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over52c212.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…0723backed Over47c212.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under80c205$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4152243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c203.88$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0133522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over49c203.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9117249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b97…0d79backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over50c198.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Over50c197.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.941662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Over50c194.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over10c187.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.731957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.443655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9add…c04bbacked Under50c186$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over50c185.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.839048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6c…20e3backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0692…ca65backed Over51c179.01$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a8…cbf0backed Over51c177.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d36…a772backed Under49c177$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8846…e85abacked Under49c176$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb04e…3bb2backed Under49c174.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f94…5c1ebacked Over51c173.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc5…26c6backed Under49c173$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaea…ec9dbacked Over51c171.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e9…3fcebacked Over51c171.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…d63dbacked Under49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb11b…1617backed Under49c168.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38d…3648backed Over51c168.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf526…748ebacked Under49c168$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9553…d468backed Over51c167.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa696…d083backed Under49c167$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af4…98b1backed Under49c166$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b4…924dbacked Under49c166$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x612d…8534backed Over51c165.74$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a15…8d04backed Under49c164$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf959…b3a4backed Under49c164$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fe…0372backed Over51c162.78$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6125…e146backed Over51c162.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b90…b70dbacked Under49c161$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0841…0ab9backed Over51c158.8$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2823…0295backed Over51c158.54$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bac…9d08backed Under49c158$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under70c156.34$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7670239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…35ecbacked Over51c156.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe208…6237backed Over51c154.46$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.