TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Kings, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,083,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,083,622 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Utah62c486,376$302,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184,322.8167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Kings39c462,938$180,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180,598.5516442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Utah62c79,960$49,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,384.868657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Utah58c71,685$41,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,438.81,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Utah62c60,000$37,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,80014650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings38c58,709$22,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,034.4351550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings38c40,820$15,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,610.8861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Utah56c34,222$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,221.8112835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Utah62c32,300$20,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,273.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Kings38c25,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5005841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Utah66c21,142$14,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,118.3427448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings38c20,849$7,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,922.6218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Utah62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Kings38c18,109$6,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,881.425639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings12c14,954$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.1840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings37c14,937$5,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,526.581,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Kings38c12,880$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,894.47737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Kings38c11,366$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,318.975259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kings38c10,883$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,135.6220552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Kings38c10,046$3,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,817.564957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Utah62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Kings38c9,660$3,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,670.82429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Kings38c9,396$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.482853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Kings1c8,715$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings38c8,079$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,07736748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Kings38c8,050$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0593240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings38c7,710$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.832251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Kings38c7,500$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8502951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kings38c6,579$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Kings38c6,579$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings37c6,484$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.160249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings39c6,449$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.2945751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Kings38c6,440$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.22035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah63c6,200$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.631,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Kings37c5,594$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.9127850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings37c5,492$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.9643548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Kings38c5,376$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.814841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Utah62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9006640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kings37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Kings44c4,844$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.7441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kings41c4,732$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.8657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed Kings38c4,615$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.752846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Utah68c4,440$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42385250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Kings45c4,165$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.424143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Utah62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.9630552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Kings38c3,846$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.64055%22 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Kings38c3,308$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2573450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Kings38c3,200$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21613147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Utah56c3,069$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Utah62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9927243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings19c2,927$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.5589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Kings38c2,576$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.8810146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Kings38c2,400$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9124738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings40c2,322$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9223,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked Kings38c2,286$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.7650%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4090…3e81backed Utah59c2,220$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Kings45c2,178$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.2913437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kings38c2,140$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.3666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Utah55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9511950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Utah59c1,976$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.4699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Kings38c1,944$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.740%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Kings39c1,923$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Kings38c1,883$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.572842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Kings46c1,842$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings39c1,838$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.611,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Kings38c1,611$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6123743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Kings38c1,610$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.876246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Utah58c1,592$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.42,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Utah63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.332151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings28c1,542$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kings38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kings14c1,434$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.812328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kings38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Kings38c1,207$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.665230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Kings37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44445749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Utah56c1,200$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9912649.2%62 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Kings41c1,160$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.0642847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed Kings16c1,141$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.824126.8%11 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x317f…cd65backed Utah63c1,134$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Utah62c1,133$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.4338849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Kings43c1,018$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.972759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37062249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Utah60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Utah57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4308657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Kings30c1,000$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.824847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Utah55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d47…d0a2backed Kings38c965.26$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Kings38c931.16$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.843551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Utah57c914.28$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.5658841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Kings38c908.42$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.211243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Utah56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.867149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings28c877.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.872,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Utah62c834.54$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.5439751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee6…0319backed Utah63c829$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.731540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaad0…0184backed Kings38c803$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.141618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-61.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Utah62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3049659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.