NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfddebcc033c7bc7c55039a2562c6cb8fadd59c5db6bfe6de2211c873a3f85688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Utah, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,506 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Kings | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Utah | 41c | 1,085$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.74 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kings | 62c | 926.01$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.88 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Utah | 38c | 822.58$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah | 38c | 679$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Utah | 38c | 621.85$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 48c | 621.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.65 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kings | 57c | 513$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Utah | 46c | 480.32$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Kings | 48c | 480$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Utah | 52c | 460$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Utah | 37c | 407.81$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Utah | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Utah | 38c | 275.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Utah | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Kings | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Utah | 37c | 138.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 37c | 131$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Utah | 38c | 129.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 50c | 125.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Kings | 67c | 116.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah | 50c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Kings | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Kings | 63c | 107.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kings | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Utah | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Kings | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…b9d6backed Utah | 38c | 68.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kings | 63c | 61.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcde…dc58backed Utah | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 58c | 56.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Utah | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Utah | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Kings | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 61c | 45.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Utah | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Utah | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Utah | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kings | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Kings | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Kings | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Utah | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kings | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 62c | 29.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Utah | 52c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Utah | 38c | 26.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Utah | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Kings | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Kings | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Kings | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Utah | 50c | 22.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Kings | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…5cecbacked Kings | 62c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Kings | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Kings | 63c | 15.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. UtahUtah won
- Kings vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kings vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.