NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29059fdef7014dded7d53c5cf8585078265ed56e41de310573ee14acd926ddca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,758,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,968,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,758,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 759 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Wizards | 21c | 213,122$44,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,119.36 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bulls | 78c | 85,572$66,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,634.05 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Bulls | 69c | 49,883$34,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,463.69 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards | 30c | 40,556$12,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,166.87 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Wizards | 29c | 39,784$11,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,537.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Wizards | 21c | 39,041$8,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,146.42 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards | 29c | 38,470$11,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,017.33 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 28c | 25,769$7,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,215.27 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Bulls | 70c | 22,926$16,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,820.1 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 2c | 22,682$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.65 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Wizards | 22c | 21,385$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.31 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Wizards | 24c | 20,845$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.92 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Bulls | 70c | 19,223$13,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,766.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards | 28c | 18,944$5,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.74 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Bulls | 70c | 17,202$12,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.6 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Wizards | 25c | 14,587$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.87 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Bulls | 71c | 14,181$10,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.53 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 11c | 13,847$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls | 80c | 13,840$11,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.6 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Bulls | 78c | 13,235$10,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.62 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Bulls | 70c | 12,526$8,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.45 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Bulls | 71c | 12,506$8,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.85 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Wizards | 31c | 12,389$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.05 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Wizards | 30c | 12,178$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.47 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 31c | 12,102$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Bulls | 71c | 11,910$8,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.98 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Wizards | 17c | 11,910$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.7 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 13c | 11,380$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.12 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards | 29c | 11,304$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.24 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Bulls | 71c | 11,072$7,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.75 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards | 0c | 11,040$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 28c | 11,017$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.77 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 30c | 11,000$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Wizards | 28c | 10,056$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.21 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Wizards | 30c | 10,033$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.9 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Bulls | 72c | 9,995$7,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.6 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 77c | 9,514$7,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.79 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Wizards | 15c | 8,135$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.52 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls | 77c | 7,724$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.85 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 17c | 7,566$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.96 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…b9ebbacked Wizards | 26c | 7,087$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards | 6c | 6,831$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.83 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 76c | 6,660$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.46 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Bulls | 78c | 6,483$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.14 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Wizards | 28c | 6,341$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.49 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Wizards | 26c | 5,955$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.89 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bulls | 74c | 5,725$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.04 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 18c | 5,230$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.42 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…5e39backed Wizards | 30c | 5,124$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…8db8backed Wizards | 30c | 5,093$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Wizards | 5c | 4,748$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Wizards | 21c | 4,550$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Bulls | 71c | 4,422$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.29 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Bulls | 70c | 4,392$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.34 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 29c | 4,264$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Wizards | 0c | 4,224$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 125 | 8%10 W · 115 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…1e61backed Wizards | 0c | 4,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…0d4bbacked Bulls | 71c | 4,152$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Wizards | 3c | 4,140$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 29c | 4,104$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.07 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Bulls | 72c | 4,092$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.37 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Bulls | 70c | 4,080$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.15 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 70c | 4,068$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.49 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Bulls | 72c | 4,055$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.29 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Wizards | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bulls | 77c | 3,902$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.19 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 30c | 3,784$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Wizards | 1c | 3,752$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 19c | 3,513$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…6c53backed Bulls | 70c | 3,512$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Bulls | 71c | 3,474$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.51 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…44b3backed Bulls | 70c | 3,393$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Wizards | 1c | 3,381$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 22c | 3,318$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.17 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Wizards | 29c | 3,221$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.15 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…fc25backed Bulls | 70c | 3,220$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 18c | 3,085$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Wizards | 16c | 2,908$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.57 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Bulls | 72c | 2,731$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.71 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards | 30c | 2,675$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.54 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards | 7c | 2,611$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.78 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…4c3dbacked Bulls | 71c | 2,548$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.97 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 78c | 2,494$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.99 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb394…7eb0backed Bulls | 80c | 2,469$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.88 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Wizards | 21c | 2,272$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.29 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Wizards | 18c | 2,225$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.83 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Wizards | 5c | 2,212$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Wizards | 29c | 2,200$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Bulls | 70c | 2,062$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 1c | 2,050$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4393backed Bulls | 72c | 2,048$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…f4d1backed Bulls | 78c | 2,025$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Wizards | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wizards | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Wizards | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Bulls | 72c | 1,998$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.58 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…3656backed Bulls | 70c | 1,984$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.09 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.