NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391dca4060e65331b97c04838413a6df6e181cbb40fb74c024f828a7d9ce3aff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 47c | 15,777$7,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,362.07 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 9,627$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 5,753$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 50c | 2,897$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.66 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,780$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 47c | 2,369$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.82 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 50c | 1,971$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.54 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 922.14$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Over | 50c | 726.71$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 52c | 673.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 551.55$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 549.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 334.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 313.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Under | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…d963backed Over | 51c | 278.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 256.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 48c | 230.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 48c | 230.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 228.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 53c | 227.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 216.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 199.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 174$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Over | 51c | 150.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Over | 49c | 139.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Under | 48c | 120.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Over | 53c | 117.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 53c | 113.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 113.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 98.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 53c | 96.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Over | 53c | 85.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 84.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 53c | 84.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 83.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 83.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 53c | 80.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 50c | 78.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 21c | 70.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 69.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 50c | 62.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed Under | 48c | 61.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 60.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…8804backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 53c | 55.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 48c | 46.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 48c | 41.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 53c | 41.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 51c | 38.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Over | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Over | 54c | 34.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 33.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Under | 48c | 32.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 27.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 73c | 24.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Over | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 54c | 24.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 48c | 23.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…d5c2backed Over | 50c | 21.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Over | 51c | 19.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.