NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72142cd720418f6b6cb8bf77adb49ddd0f22ba210a79ff741bda745b9620d20c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 49c | 16,896$8,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,617.03 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 49c | 13,097$6,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,682.35 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 10,296$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 9,733$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 12c | 5,020$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.8 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Over | 10c | 4,847$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.72 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 4,669$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.84 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 51c | 4,442$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.29 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 51c | 3,785$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.82 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 2,238$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.59 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 51c | 1,510$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.91 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 50c | 1,475$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.38 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 50c | 1,475$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.37 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 50c | 1,452$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.87 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 13c | 1,276$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 12c | 1,104$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.6 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.66 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Under | 50c | 868.93$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.98 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 746.49$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.25 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 666.24$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.48 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed Under | 50c | 548.35$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 438.68$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 51c | 380.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 51c | 357.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 336.12$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 50c | 283.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 223.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked Under | 50c | 196.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 192.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 154.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed Under | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over | 51c | 133.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Over | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…d8e4backed Over | 13c | 109.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…3800backed Under | 51c | 100.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 50c | 100.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 51c | 99.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0810…8b83backed Over | 50c | 96.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…0e07backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 89.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 15c | 88.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 50c | 72.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d03…9d52backed Under | 50c | 69.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Under | 50c | 58.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 55.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…c884backed Under | 51c | 54.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…863fbacked Under | 50c | 48.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 50c | 45.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 48c | 38.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 48c | 33.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…8025backed Under | 50c | 32.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Under | 49c | 31.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 50c | 29.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed Over | 51c | 28.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…e963backed Under | 50c | 24.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Under | 50c | 20.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…e38fbacked Under | 50c | 20.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 60c | 18.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.