NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x983f928dcca81b9b3392339fefcb2b26c5d4ae0da986659c3e39d7dff8a82a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 56c | 280,787$157,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,392.88 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 44c | 217,407$95,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,886.91 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 44c | 150,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Bulls | 57c | 51,177$29,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,946.37 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bulls | 57c | 42,928$24,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,591.75 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 43c | 41,605$17,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,890.19 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Bulls | 55c | 29,625$16,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,414.73 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 56c | 21,732$12,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,562.14 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Wizards | 43c | 21,010$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,034.3 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Bulls | 56c | 17,386$9,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.71 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 56c | 17,360$9,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,638.57 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 44c | 16,836$7,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,473.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards | 47c | 13,631$6,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,403.44 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls | 57c | 12,855$7,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.98 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 43c | 11,250$4,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Wizards | 44c | 10,852$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.89 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Bulls | 53c | 10,690$5,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.21 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 44c | 8,505$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wizards | 48c | 5,597$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.65 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Bulls | 53c | 5,476$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.17 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.02 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Wizards | 45c | 3,847$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.93 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 45c | 3,530$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.69 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Wizards | 47c | 2,926$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.15 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 40c | 2,609$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.12 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Wizards | 45c | 2,542$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.71 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bulls | 57c | 2,136$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.65 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Wizards | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Wizards | 44c | 1,757$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.12 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Bulls | 53c | 1,559$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.52 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Wizards | 28c | 1,336$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.76 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 44c | 1,308$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Bulls | 54c | 1,261$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.84 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,247$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Bulls | 54c | 1,229$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.82 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Bulls | 56c | 1,135$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.76 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 43c | 1,030$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Bulls | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Wizards | 45c | 801.47$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.19 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Wizards | 44c | 800.51$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.22 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Wizards | 45c | 749.43$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.25 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards | 44c | 724.8$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards | 50c | 676.09$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.4 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 39c | 578.01$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 62c | 539.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Wizards | 44c | 490.06$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.49 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Bulls | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Bulls | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Wizards | 47c | 412.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2e…6373backed Wizards | 5c | 394.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wizards | 50c | 357.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Wizards | 45c | 321.47$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.66 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Bulls | 55c | 318.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Wizards | 46c | 287.42$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Bulls | 56c | 238.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…f503backed Bulls | 57c | 230.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Wizards | 45c | 227.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Bulls | 75c | 210.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Wizards | 44c | 207.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Bulls | 54c | 203.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…735fbacked Bulls | 56c | 200.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Bulls | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Bulls | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Bulls | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Wizards | 45c | 182.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 44c | 179.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Wizards | 48c | 179.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Wizards | 45c | 178.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Bulls | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Bulls | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Bulls | 57c | 171.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards | 44c | 160.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…5b98backed Bulls | 63c | 158.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 55c | 150.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…f06cbacked Bulls | 54c | 147.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Wizards | 45c | 136.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Wizards | 44c | 133.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Bulls | 56c | 132.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Bulls | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 44c | 122.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Wizards | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed Wizards | 46c | 104.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Wizards | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Wizards | 46c | 100.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Bulls | 52c | 99.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Bulls | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Bulls | 66c | 95.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 46c | 95.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Bulls | 56c | 92.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Wizards | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…7634backed Bulls | 57c | 88.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Bulls | 57c | 87.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Bulls | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Bulls | 57c | 85.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Bulls | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Bulls | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.