NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x554725a2a3049d25a94b0d3f1b1d55bdb8ea6936b53fd01140b410a10ac0e0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 45c | 23,102$10,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,706.22 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Under | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,239.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Under | 48c | 11,122$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,783.7 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Under | 48c | 9,920$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.61 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 47c | 9,718$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,122.64 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 47c | 9,678$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.29 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 52c | 8,510$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 56c | 7,022$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.37 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 6,880$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 44c | 6,114$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.56 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 52c | 5,991$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.6 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 5,230$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 49c | 5,029$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.4 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Under | 48c | 4,561$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 3,887$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 52c | 3,124$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.86 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 53c | 2,640$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.39 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…0501backed Under | 47c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 1,743$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,571$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.4 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Under | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 45c | 1,201$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.69 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 1,157$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.25 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Under | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,033$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.19 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 52c | 950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 51c | 888.25$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.01 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 45c | 884.56$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.75 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 876.53$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.03 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 45c | 873.83$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.45 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 46c | 855.09$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.14 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 819.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 46c | 819.24$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.78 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 51c | 763.9$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.59 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 717.12$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.95 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 687.4$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.71 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 50c | 681.1$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.52 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 49c | 679.59$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 52c | 631.28$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.44 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 624.72$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 43c | 571.76$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.77 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 52c | 562.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.33 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 52c | 558.35$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.1 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 52c | 555.32$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.77 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Over | 32c | 548.48$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 69c | 522.19$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.64 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 55c | 507$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.85 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 48c | 436.82$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 414.89$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 50c | 391.45$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 51c | 376.25$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 358.85$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 54c | 358.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 346.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 318.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 52c | 317$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.84 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 46c | 303.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Over | 51c | 268.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Under | 49c | 266.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 7c | 243.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 12c | 233.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 51c | 229.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 52c | 215.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 79c | 215.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…d3aabacked Over | 51c | 198.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 194.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Under | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…306dbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Under | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 51c | 190.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 52c | 188.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 174.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…6f4cbacked Over | 10c | 164.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 162.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 45c | 162.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 45c | 157.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 46c | 157.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Under | 68c | 149.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Over | 51c | 146.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…7f47backed Over | 11c | 144.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.