NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ffc6e945d8f824cb5e2f43293f96ebc4e947e9cdd8d1087627080e6af031b6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 51c | 141,462$72,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,682.69 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 49c | 134,022$65,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,126.37 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 48c | 55,150$26,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,472.24 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Wizards | 52c | 21,877$11,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,341.74 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Bulls | 74c | 19,859$14,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.27 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 51c | 18,255$9,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,889.63 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bulls | 52c | 17,304$9,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,302.55 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 52c | 16,683$8,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,004.83 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls | 52c | 13,964$7,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,734.87 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 49c | 11,814$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.91 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Bulls | 50c | 11,715$5,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,857.02 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 48c | 11,183$5,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,367.63 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 51c | 10,420$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314.14 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.3 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 36c | 6,704$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Bulls | 51c | 6,173$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wizards | 24c | 6,102$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.12 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 31c | 5,959$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.11 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Bulls | 55c | 5,000$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Wizards | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Wizards | 49c | 4,946$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.5 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 49c | 4,103$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 53c | 4,062$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.04 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Wizards | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Bulls | 49c | 3,958$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.63 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 48c | 3,491$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Wizards | 50c | 2,720$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.76 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Bulls | 69c | 2,408$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.39 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Bulls | 49c | 2,362$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.84 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bulls | 52c | 2,285$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.47 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Wizards | 49c | 2,101$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.5 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bulls | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Wizards | 1c | 1,729$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 50c | 1,700$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.69 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Wizards | 50c | 1,673$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.5 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Wizards | 49c | 1,583$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.52 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 41c | 1,485$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 30c | 1,363$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Wizards | 28c | 1,360$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.93 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Wizards | 51c | 1,229$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.63 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,170$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.91 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 48c | 1,166$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Wizards | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.11 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 32c | 1,086$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Bulls | 49c | 1,067$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.02 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…f503backed Bulls | 52c | 1,063$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Bulls | 52c | 1,057$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.41 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 6c | 1,027$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Wizards | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.01 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…259abacked Wizards | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…5a67backed Wizards | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…862ebacked Wizards | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Bulls | 73c | 983.8$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 50c | 972.03$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Wizards | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Bulls | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bulls | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 52c | 850.66$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.37 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Bulls | 51c | 841.41$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.77 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Bulls | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Wizards | 51c | 784.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.35 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Wizards | 20c | 764$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 48c | 749.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.49 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wizards | 50c | 678.19$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.91 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Wizards | 50c | 650$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Bulls | 50c | 627.18$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.87 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bulls | 48c | 588.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.8 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Bulls | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 64c | 507.48$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Bulls | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…ac72backed Bulls | 52c | 468.7$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Wizards | 52c | 435.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.29 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Bulls | 50c | 395.76$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…0c74backed Bulls | 51c | 355.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Bulls | 49c | 344.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Bulls | 49c | 315.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Bulls | 62c | 306.23$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Wizards | 37c | 299.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…cc06backed Bulls | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Wizards | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…a3d4backed Bulls | 49c | 288.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…1d5dbacked Wizards | 52c | 286.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bulls | 49c | 285.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Bulls | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls | 62c | 275.61$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Wizards | 52c | 262.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Wizards | 49c | 257.14$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…abe5backed Wizards | 52c | 247.66$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Bulls | 48c | 246.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…5fe9backed Bulls | 49c | 242.35$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Wizards | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Bulls | 69c | 228.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards | 49c | 225.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Wizards | 54c | 223.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Bulls | 48c | 222$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Bulls | 53c | 210.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wizards | 28c | 208.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Wizards won
- Bulls vs. WizardsBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.