TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd71a…5e5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Stocks at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT5040%20 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.6
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+252.1%+$257.76
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$54.4
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.47
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$42.4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.75
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$27.51
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.69
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+320.1%+$191.49
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.53
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+533.1%+$122.11
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.54
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$210.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.38
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$29.15
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.68
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.91
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.14
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.95
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+402.8%+$117.64
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.39
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.36
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.18
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$19.8
Will Nepali Congress win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$49.7
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.17
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+301.1%+$105.1
Will Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.22
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.24
Will Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$69.32
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.78
Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$95.07
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+30.4%+$20.71
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+79.4%+$24.35
Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.74
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+284.6%+$81.57
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.62
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$68.23
Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Casey Armitage be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.05
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$18.3
Will Steven Elliott be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Travis Terrell be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+269.4%+$81.14
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.82
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$197.5
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$55.16
Will Adam Perez Arquette be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Will Gavin Solomon be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+215.2%+$88.5
Will Ron Eller be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Kevin Wilson be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+175.1%+$181.59
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.78
Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.05
Will Kelvin Buck be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Will Cliff Johnson be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.24
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+488.2%+$138.59
Will Laurie Buckhout be the Republican Nominee for NC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$18
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.11
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.45
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.32
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+604.1%+$158.25
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.37
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.95
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.8
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.29
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,360
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.6
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.86
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.44
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+48.8%+$7.32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+64.4%+$57.94
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.15
Will Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$25.92
Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Rubrik (RBRK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+227.7%+$81.3
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.64
Will Caseys General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$28.35
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+233.3%+$31.5
Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$33.63
Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+284.6%+$81.13
Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$74.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.64
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.97
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Claude 4.7 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
ChatGPT Outage by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.59
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+525%+$173.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,855.43
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$350.11
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$525.97
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$514.5
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.19
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.5
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,509Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$1,552.69
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$445.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-87.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Stocks — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.99
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.1
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $220?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.61
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 23 above $315?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$80.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.08
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.16
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+743.4%+$148.08
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$174.3
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.53
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$202.5
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$83.4
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$23.7
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.35
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+696.8%+$374.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+178.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+113.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$387.6
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.79
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trent Williams be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will Breece Hall be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+177.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$63.79
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$279.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$346.96
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+166.5%+$1,295.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$252
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 61–70 times during March Madness?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$484
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.