Stocks · resolved market
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd57f28abb938a4a957d493428429e4bf8d13be5f0cc20c37139b1f7951674e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 35c | 9,228$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,995.28 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked No | 66c | 9,000$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 5,625$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked No | 58c | 4,570$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.73 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…508fbacked No | 63c | 3,727$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 49c | 2,930$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.45 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 73c | 1,819$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.22 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 59c | 1,471$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.87 | 1,783 | 49%874 W · 909 L | +142.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,316$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.97 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed No | 6c | 1,100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 63c | 610$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.85 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 73c | 573.68$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.09 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 39c | 557.3$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.55 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 65c | 509$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 65c | 454$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 55c | 424.26$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.21 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 53c | 385.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 39c | 382.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…3d2abacked Yes | 34c | 340$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…ba9bbacked Yes | 40c | 318.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 71c | 310$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…b2c0backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…1798backed No | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 43c | 290.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.73 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 47c | 265.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa3…7a1abacked No | 40c | 253.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…edfdbacked No | 70c | 239.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 234.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 211.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…7aaabacked Yes | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…d8cebacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes | 37c | 186.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…9c59backed No | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed No | 47c | 161.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…bdaebacked No | 41c | 161$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584b…bdc9backed No | 41c | 158$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbb…27fcbacked No | 41c | 156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…d443backed No | 41c | 155$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…c649backed No | 41c | 155$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…0305backed Yes | 62c | 154$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…0054backed No | 41c | 153$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…6d53backed No | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b0…ff2cbacked No | 41c | 144$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…ea45backed No | 41c | 142$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…aab8backed No | 41c | 142$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878e…1fa1backed No | 41c | 142$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…7134backed No | 41c | 141$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed No | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253a…8d10backed No | 41c | 138$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…3eb6backed Yes | 32c | 120.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 71c | 118$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 46c | 117.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…5381backed Yes | 59c | 113$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…1520backed Yes | 59c | 112$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…98c7backed Yes | 59c | 112$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…5b49backed Yes | 59c | 111$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked No | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…c260backed Yes | 59c | 109$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…45c7backed Yes | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…4935backed Yes | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…a7d1backed Yes | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…d347backed Yes | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 100.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…2922backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…405ebacked No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…b295backed Yes | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b9…17e6backed Yes | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…66d6backed Yes | 59c | 98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…2748backed Yes | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…ebb5backed Yes | 25c | 95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…e90abacked Yes | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…5e31backed Yes | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…05dcbacked Yes | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…915bbacked Yes | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…f225backed No | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…0378backed Yes | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…3735backed Yes | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…4ed5backed Yes | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 68.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…5939backed Yes | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 40c | 65.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…4a9cbacked Yes | 21c | 65.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…9a86backed Yes | 32c | 63.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74eb…c78abacked No | 66c | 59.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 34c | 57.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…fc0dbacked Yes | 26c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +198.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…9a54backed Yes | 32c | 53.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…14d7backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 34c | 49.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 26c | 45.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 72c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?this page
- Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of February?No won
- Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of February?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.