Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x757ad347115f28ab9923a3d12a8f046534a87728f9be27c2f666de39983a99eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $426,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 6c | 80,550$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.52 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 4c | 24,000$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.44 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…3113backed Yes | 3c | 14,505$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…5a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 13,701$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…4012backed Yes | 11c | 8,619$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 9c | 8,275$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.15 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 10c | 7,772$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.94 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Yes | 9c | 7,741$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 4c | 6,162$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.04 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 4c | 6,126$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…f7d6backed Yes | 6c | 6,000$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 4c | 5,864$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 5,068$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.44 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…225ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,240$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…610abacked Yes | 1c | 4,230$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 4,086$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 4,013$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…5c72backed Yes | 7c | 2,956$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…4bcabacked Yes | 3c | 2,838$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 76c | 2,277$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.28 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,947$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 1c | 1,895$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 6c | 1,557$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed Yes | 8c | 1,441$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,433$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,330$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 16c | 1,082$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Yes | 8c | 999.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e6…c8dbbacked Yes | 16c | 974.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed Yes | 14c | 955.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 7c | 900.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…fb5ebacked Yes | 6c | 834.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 75c | 797.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 40c | 748.35$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e7d4backed Yes | 8c | 748.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed No | 76c | 705$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 24c | 671.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 5c | 600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…4841backed Yes | 9c | 578.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 20c | 505.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed No | 79c | 422.73$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 9c | 411.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 74c | 404.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 6c | 402.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed No | 78c | 387.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 68c | 372.76$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 77c | 366.44$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…faf1backed Yes | 4c | 325.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…879abacked Yes | 6c | 316.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 73c | 314.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…535abacked Yes | 16c | 313.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 6c | 305$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…b28dbacked Yes | 7c | 303.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…537ebacked Yes | 20c | 302.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed Yes | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b822backed Yes | 7c | 294.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 11c | 283.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…f3cebacked Yes | 5c | 283.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…1c40backed Yes | 16c | 280.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 5c | 260.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 6c | 258.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…00b1backed Yes | 12c | 254.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…1957backed Yes | 8c | 248.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97e…56cfbacked Yes | 30c | 215.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 24c | 210.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…0407backed Yes | 30c | 207.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…3650backed No | 74c | 199.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…46a2backed Yes | 7c | 180.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…7462backed Yes | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…e26dbacked Yes | 21c | 146.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 12c | 144$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…9b8dbacked Yes | 8c | 132.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…eb8ebacked Yes | 13c | 132.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…6d24backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 23c | 130.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf648…8d02backed Yes | 11c | 123.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b5fbacked No | 80c | 116.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…72cabacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcc…ce91backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…76f4backed Yes | 29c | 61.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…a7f6backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…18fcbacked No | 69c | 33.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 69c | 26.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf56…50e7backed No | 75c | 24.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c78…322cbacked No | 77c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.