TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$415,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes1c61,239$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.26220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes1c30,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes9c24,251$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.535123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d34…0772backed Yes1c12,830$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad45…b8c9backed Yes2c9,240$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.21937.5%7 W · 86 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb598…10f6backed Yes3c8,502$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes4c8,254$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.021488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…3772backed Yes8c8,197$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.42412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c6,864$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.342922.1%6 W · 286 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdd…5585backed Yes3c6,850$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Yes5c6,265$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes3c4,573$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150180%0 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes2c4,461$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.63224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes6c4,414$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1663835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x074d…0198backed Yes1c4,409$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-88.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c3,629$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0528113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes21c3,155$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.7487828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c3,143$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.31,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ca…9265backed Yes3c3,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.97213.9%10 W · 62 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57bc…cea7backed Yes2c3,000$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e15…b101backed Yes7c2,615$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.893016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes1c2,015$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc65…5dcabacked Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c1,721$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.14163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d6…01f9backed Yes5c1,716$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.73797.6%6 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes7c1,522$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.481483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…9667backed Yes3c1,505$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.22360%0 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7041…3077backed Yes4c1,414$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5550%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2220…5db4backed Yes15c1,300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-71.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes1c1,296$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x276b…9116backed Yes3c1,277$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b7…3419backed Yes6c1,128$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f4…4647backed Yes7c1,100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7750%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…d142backed Yes3c1,085$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89333%1 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd69…0986backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x841d…6ef3backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a18…b1bcbacked Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a6…8b32backed No78c999.99$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2195470.4%38 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…9bfdbacked Yes7c950$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6257…32cabacked Yes6c784.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffdd…1029backed Yes6c687.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x822b…decabacked No61c640$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.62454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe004…cce7backed Yes2c589$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28510%0 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes5c580$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00f6…4d05backed No57c546.8$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9116…740bbacked Yes9c479.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.87205%1 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick22cpaid-92.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fba…df5fbacked Yes3c458$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes24c414.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100267.7%2 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-81%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes5c413.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73368.3%3 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-78.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe25b…344dbacked Yes29c385.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes4c373$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.463619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…6feabacked No72c309$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.613171%22 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc914…c458backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9095…96f7backed No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x830c…d1fcbacked Yes6c269.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee8…7e06backed No76c264$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.986940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99ab…5699backed Yes5c261.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.061233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes42c240$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa7…316bbacked Yes5c239.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e5…19a1backed Yes11c230$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa602…1d77backed No63c223.59$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x995b…683abacked No70c142.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba15…7579backed No72c125.7$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.745442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3698…7160backed Yes40c123.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed No80c117.86$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf1…bb98backed No61c110.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.732254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c81…4e45backed Yes11c106.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61e…735ebacked Yes29c104$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd834…cd9bbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e5…17eebacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefca…3650backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612722%28 W · 99 L-19.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6f4d…f7c4backed Yes10c99.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4416…d98cbacked No79c94.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…985bbacked Yes19c69.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes20c66.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.273823.7%9 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c45…fbdabacked Yes37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80de…0792backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf78b…c5dcbacked No73c26.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x227d…1a26backed No59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.429063.3%57 W · 33 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+41.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc9af…91e5backed No72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.