Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f3ddc62310927da6bf2840a298d3134903bfa3cbeaeec559ca8956a4ad4be34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 1c | 61,239$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.26 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 9c | 24,251$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.5 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…0772backed Yes | 1c | 12,830$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 2c | 9,240$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb598…10f6backed Yes | 3c | 8,502$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 4c | 8,254$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 8c | 8,197$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.4 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,864$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 3c | 6,850$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Yes | 5c | 6,265$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,573$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,461$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 6c | 4,414$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.16 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 1c | 4,409$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 3,629$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,155$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.74 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,143$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…cea7backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 7c | 2,615$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 1c | 2,015$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…5dcabacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,721$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,716$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 7c | 1,522$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 3c | 1,505$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…3077backed Yes | 4c | 1,414$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…5db4backed Yes | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 1c | 1,296$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…9116backed Yes | 3c | 1,277$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…3419backed Yes | 6c | 1,128$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…4647backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 3c | 1,085$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…6ef3backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…b1bcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 78c | 999.99$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…9bfdbacked Yes | 7c | 950$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…32cabacked Yes | 6c | 784.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…1029backed Yes | 6c | 687.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…decabacked No | 61c | 640$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 2c | 589$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes | 5c | 580$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…4d05backed No | 57c | 546.8$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…740bbacked Yes | 9c | 479.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…df5fbacked Yes | 3c | 458$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 24c | 414.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 5c | 413.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…344dbacked Yes | 29c | 385.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 4c | 373$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 72c | 309$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc914…c458backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x830c…d1fcbacked Yes | 6c | 269.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 76c | 264$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…5699backed Yes | 5c | 261.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 42c | 240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…316bbacked Yes | 5c | 239.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…19a1backed Yes | 11c | 230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa602…1d77backed No | 63c | 223.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995b…683abacked No | 70c | 142.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 72c | 125.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Yes | 40c | 123.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 80c | 117.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…bb98backed No | 61c | 110.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…4e45backed Yes | 11c | 106.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…735ebacked Yes | 29c | 104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…cd9bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…17eebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…3650backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4d…f7c4backed Yes | 10c | 99.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4416…d98cbacked No | 79c | 94.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…985bbacked Yes | 19c | 69.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 20c | 66.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c45…fbdabacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…0792backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…c5dcbacked No | 73c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…91e5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.