Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce5643cb51f9e3ecdd37905e0676789acff6b053894c97aadeb8958390cee89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $543,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 1c | 51,049$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 8c | 42,913$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.25 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…552cbacked Yes | 0c | 27,043$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 78c | 24,404$18,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.23 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 2c | 22,618$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.08 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,635$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 12c | 15,621$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.65 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 14,918$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 42c | 13,629$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,883.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 15c | 11,096$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.48 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,303$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 6c | 9,010$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.72 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 4c | 8,291$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8a…4362backed Yes | 0c | 6,575$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 2c | 6,496$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes | 1c | 6,115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 5,348$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…8e52backed Yes | 2c | 5,242$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 47c | 4,468$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.41 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,330$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 19c | 4,245$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.45 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,818$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,585$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 1c | 3,258$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…5b82backed Yes | 2c | 3,248$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 1c | 3,157$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 73c | 3,068$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.5 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…9fa7backed Yes | 29c | 2,198$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 8c | 1,923$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…a682backed No | 71c | 1,803$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Yes | 18c | 1,741$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.86 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6fc8backed Yes | 4c | 1,575$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…df5fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,521$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffa…3ebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,341$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 7c | 1,298$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 8c | 1,259$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…740bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,232$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked Yes | 9c | 1,200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 9c | 1,160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,144$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.3 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 1,120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…1e46backed Yes | 48c | 1,109$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…4c1ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,060$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 4c | 1,029$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…a7e9backed Yes | 2c | 1,015$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 7c | 1,003$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…5db4backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…5dcabacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 6c | 981.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673b…07e0backed Yes | 11c | 970.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a40…1413backed Yes | 2c | 929.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d4a1backed Yes | 11c | 878.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9142…ecafbacked Yes | 2c | 850.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe774…6457backed Yes | 6c | 823.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…0772backed Yes | 2c | 819.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 77c | 810$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 7c | 784$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 8c | 726.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…3d3dbacked No | 62c | 716.59$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 704.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e5a7backed Yes | 18c | 552.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…8d70backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 3c | 488.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 459.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 39c | 456.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7b42backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 32c | 393.4$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 6c | 392.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 8c | 358.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 55c | 349.46$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…cd10backed Yes | 8c | 256.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…decabacked No | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…3d88backed Yes | 5c | 214.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 6c | 210$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…61e1backed Yes | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 11c | 183$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…832abacked Yes | 12c | 171.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8b…63dfbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…4e11backed No | 69c | 157$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a221backed Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Yes | 67c | 149.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…9bfdbacked Yes | 10c | 147.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…bb98backed Yes | 53c | 130.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…c69abacked Yes | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583a…2624backed No | 75c | 118$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…86c0backed Yes | 9c | 115$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…19a1backed Yes | 22c | 114$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 38c | 107.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…98cfbacked Yes | 10c | 102.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cc…7971backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 62c | 96.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.