TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes1c27,477$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.55220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad45…b8c9backed Yes5c18,144$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.07937.5%7 W · 86 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes24c14,241$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.876835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc76c…eb3cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes3c9,909$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.071466.2%9 W · 137 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes19c8,759$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.6987828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb2…99a3backed No59c7,953$4,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.382065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes9c6,637$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.781488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes19c6,303$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.5114337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c5,009$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.824163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…5b82backed Yes2c4,245$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.18160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf921…be16backed Yes8c4,135$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.83429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c4,024$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.3328113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No77c3,806$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.431080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes3c3,437$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.48480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes0c3,362$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6670%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes3c3,251$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.71430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ba…a64bbacked Yes8c3,125$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…5db4backed Yes31c3,120$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-71.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf040…b3bfbacked Yes9c3,119$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.79180%0 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e15…b101backed No46c3,115$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.753016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x074d…0198backed Yes5c3,024$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-88.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes4c2,972$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…5a9fbacked Yes2c2,849$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes13c2,543$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.52560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73b7…7933backed Yes6c2,516$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.242821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd628…a698backed Yes10c1,986$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6350%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x049a…9d54backed Yes2c1,901$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0760%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a47…aa53backed Yes16c1,835$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.954415.9%7 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed36…e096backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005226.9%14 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-40.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes6c1,724$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.421288.6%11 W · 117 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes10c1,574$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4180%0 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4451…fcbebacked Yes9c1,500$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.994643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes14c1,463$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0116729.3%49 W · 118 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5285…1457backed Yes14c1,410$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes10c1,346$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.36210%0 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes14c1,308$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.83267.7%2 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-81%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e54…4521backed Yes8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9660%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked Yes21c1,100$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd69…0986backed Yes14c1,059$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-85%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca6…384ebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc65…5dcabacked Yes11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…d4a1backed Yes21c958.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd801…b39bbacked Yes2c949.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes13c944$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.727140.8%29 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…9bfdbacked Yes21c866$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.54130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc914…c458backed Yes6c860.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe004…cce7backed Yes1c812.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79510%0 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd895…ad02backed Yes16c811.84$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.141225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes12c810$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+88.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0be…e7d4backed Yes13c775.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5f…acbbbacked Yes53c754.91$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes15c753.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.31922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6205…4c1ebacked Yes10c702.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.43190%0 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07e0…1db9backed Yes22c687.54$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.39166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.30per pick36cpaid-90.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x659c…d142backed Yes10c673.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.62333%1 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d17…eabdbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba15…7579backed No69c624.44$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.175442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x535f…9667backed Yes10c615$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.45360%0 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes12c602.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.031520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c6b4backed Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904413.6%6 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x822b…decabacked No55c580.01$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.782454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x673b…07e0backed Yes20c544.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5078…464fbacked Yes20c505.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b98…d011backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes15c489$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb521…217fbacked No31c483.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Yes9c480$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71437.7%11 W · 132 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d6…01f9backed Yes10c448.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.85797.6%6 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes10c400$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…6fc8backed Yes9c361.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34280%0 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes10c353.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.831338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes7c350$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.570%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae50…1c9dbacked Yes13c344.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-86.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f6…4d05backed No79c337.8$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…1f57backed No58c330$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes12c325$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398467.9%57 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa92d…4e71backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42506%3 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-90.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…bf65backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa205…c6c6backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28aa…28b8backed Yes8c299.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed Yes31c282.49$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.622030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes73c275.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes28c275.06$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c59…0c2cbacked Yes13c263$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9c…8824backed Yes13c263$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No47c259.48$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.563823.7%9 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4d5…1119backed Yes14c252.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b6…c8d0backed Yes40c250.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88cf…924dbacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9116…740bbacked Yes20c247.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2205%1 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick22cpaid-92.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x17d9…a739backed Yes15c235$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.25520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-63.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab6…e94cbacked Yes11c228.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…747cbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x769c…3d88backed Yes13c219.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7150%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2721…cf8abacked No70c212.73$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80de…0792backed Yes14c210.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes9c206.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.