Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe2161199ecb28cda126451733b5d83e62af60bf36617c5502e21402002cd8df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $771,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $676,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 11c | 97,310$10,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,277.24 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 17c | 41,479$6,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,971.28 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 7c | 30,399$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.44 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Yes | 28c | 26,685$7,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,523 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 22,756$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.8 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.22 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 6c | 19,998$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.97 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 51c | 16,202$8,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,916.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…af38backed Yes | 16c | 10,300$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 12c | 9,104$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.43 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…8e52backed Yes | 7c | 9,056$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 1c | 8,839$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 5c | 7,291$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.56 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 1c | 6,712$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 5c | 6,398$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 0c | 6,103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 5c | 5,556$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.25 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 51c | 5,464$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.24 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 18c | 5,405$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…15c4backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 53c | 3,368$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 46c | 3,313$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.44 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 3,212$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 5c | 2,959$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a0abacked Yes | 10c | 2,840$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…e5d4backed Yes | 19c | 2,363$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,163$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed No | 79c | 2,100$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…057cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,959$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,819$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 53c | 1,805$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 5c | 1,514$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 79c | 1,485$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.87 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 5c | 1,317$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 17c | 1,127$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…9116backed Yes | 5c | 1,040$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 75c | 1,000$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.11 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…6ef3backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…1342backed Yes | 10c | 969.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…5a9fbacked Yes | 24c | 929.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 48c | 923.59$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.65 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 55c | 919.59$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.16 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 11c | 911.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…e731backed Yes | 27c | 826.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…060bbacked No | 61c | 820.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…68dabacked Yes | 1c | 804.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…3949backed Yes | 11c | 785.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 43c | 769.05$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 66c | 753.02$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…2101backed Yes | 3c | 690.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…535abacked Yes | 30c | 656.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 52c | 608.56$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.42 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…e66cbacked Yes | 17c | 601.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 25c | 600$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbad…dfdfbacked Yes | 8c | 584.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…cce1backed Yes | 8c | 561.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked No | 46c | 539.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…fb5ebacked Yes | 11c | 533.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked No | 47c | 529.66$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e7d4backed Yes | 30c | 503.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…8a73backed Yes | 19c | 500.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…4841backed Yes | 15c | 485.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 25c | 475.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Yes | 5c | 464.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 5c | 457.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1945…749dbacked Yes | 56c | 424.07$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…3650backed No | 60c | 400$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…70ebbacked Yes | 5c | 392.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 63c | 371.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…1783backed Yes | 26c | 367.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92c…e0cabacked Yes | 6c | 350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…64ccbacked Yes | 7c | 347.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 19c | 345.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 15c | 336.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…d971backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 45c | 332.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…6ac7backed Yes | 26c | 320.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 13c | 317.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9c93…547cbacked Yes | 32c | 315.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…9102backed Yes | 31c | 308.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…34dabacked Yes | 33c | 304.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…3b00backed Yes | 29c | 303.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 54c | 300$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…3647backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…239dbacked Yes | 35c | 283.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 7c | 280.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…33d1backed No | 72c | 278.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c74ebacked Yes | 29c | 272.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…eb20backed Yes | 4c | 272.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…2b73backed Yes | 35c | 267.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.