Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264d1ccd6a931814f887d4cd6ed9efb80267d5cf9c2d5db23fbf5616dd4e2da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…744fbacked No | 30c | 27,144$8,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,143.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 65c | 11,828$7,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.62 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 75c | 8,310$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.98 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 71c | 7,537$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.68 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 34c | 6,264$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.76 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 70c | 4,766$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.11 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 59c | 3,505$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.2 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 36c | 3,136$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 42c | 2,464$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.51 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 39c | 2,271$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.87 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 71c | 2,184$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.54 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…c70ebacked No | 69c | 1,489$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…4d24backed No | 79c | 1,250$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…7175backed Yes | 69c | 1,058$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 62c | 917.29$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.18 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 58c | 726.56$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.7 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 6c | 637.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…e8c0backed No | 34c | 605.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…decabacked No | 79c | 440$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…c6c6backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffb…fedabacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed No | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…e66cbacked Yes | 25c | 397.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0538…c828backed No | 26c | 384.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…1b86backed No | 78c | 369.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked No | 62c | 356.18$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…4f8cbacked Yes | 29c | 325.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 65c | 304.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…3650backed No | 74c | 300$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 27c | 271.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 258.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…9371backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…a2bcbacked Yes | 56c | 243.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 72c | 232.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 38c | 219.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…647abacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…00b1backed No | 13c | 188.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…a051backed No | 12c | 173.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e4…5aeabacked Yes | 29c | 162.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…740bbacked Yes | 70c | 159.81$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 80c | 141.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes | 24c | 127.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 126.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fa…7c51backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066b…4e8ebacked Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 65c | 77.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d231backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 76c | 59.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…735ebacked Yes | 38c | 59.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed Yes | 57c | 53.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 69c | 40.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70f…a153backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…4841backed Yes | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 56c | 31.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 66c | 30.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked No | 40c | 25.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…1b35backed Yes | 77c | 20.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…cdcfbacked Yes | 79c | 18.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Yes | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3de9backed No | 76c | 14.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.