Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x614732ba7a1fe13aa24f5ca67f8e42564178a6f769fb296a017fdb71f82533f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,008,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $973,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 19c | 94,828$17,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,826.33 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 77c | 41,704$32,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,676.05 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 38c | 40,725$15,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,329.87 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Yes | 42c | 24,969$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…744fbacked No | 29c | 24,205$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,079.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 13c | 17,651$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.53 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 70c | 13,999$9,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.91 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 36c | 10,396$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,696.39 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…f13ebacked No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 61c | 9,264$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 79c | 9,052$7,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.89 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…84fabacked Yes | 13c | 8,745$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 53c | 7,765$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 30c | 7,670$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.38 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…057cbacked Yes | 6c | 6,462$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Yes | 9c | 6,000$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 75c | 5,960$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.3 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…55cdbacked No | 48c | 5,501$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…2015backed Yes | 17c | 4,148$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked No | 57c | 4,126$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.17 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 6c | 4,025$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.03 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 28c | 3,656$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.32 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0637…8e23backed No | 65c | 3,407$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 42c | 3,400$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 7c | 3,367$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…cc6bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,347$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.66 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 3,152$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.78 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 74c | 3,073$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.48 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 11c | 3,034$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.68 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 25c | 2,721$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 71c | 2,555$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.69 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…e66cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,528$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 50c | 2,500$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked No | 47c | 2,254$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.47 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,219$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,065$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.52 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…e8c0backed No | 43c | 1,962$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,880$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.35 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a0abacked Yes | 21c | 1,794$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…7f60backed No | 73c | 1,664$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 48c | 1,571$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,505$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.58 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…81ccbacked Yes | 15c | 1,395$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…1457backed No | 35c | 1,324$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 43c | 1,282$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.16 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,200$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 51c | 1,097$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.92 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…2c4cbacked No | 73c | 1,068$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 27c | 1,050$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.95 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…a393backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…c2ddbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…a4f5backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…c0bebacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 78c | 916.06$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.35 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 53c | 906$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.41 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…8410backed Yes | 3c | 835.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 51c | 821$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.73 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…84a0backed No | 28c | 819.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…0bf5backed No | 6c | 800$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 14c | 799.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…bbe7backed No | 16c | 795.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 17c | 767.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 57c | 753.98$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76c…eb3cbacked Yes | 3c | 733.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…91bfbacked No | 42c | 666.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 35c | 666.54$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 7c | 665$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…34dabacked Yes | 23c | 655.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…51dfbacked No | 76c | 651.12$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…d573backed Yes | 80c | 626$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 47c | 620$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked No | 74c | 619.37$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed Yes | 71c | 605.5$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.23 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 50c | 604.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked Yes | 21c | 600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 17c | 576.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…9371backed Yes | 32c | 568.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 18c | 560.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 63c | 558.28$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 18c | 557.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 21c | 547.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c7…31ccbacked No | 37c | 541.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 34c | 528.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…9a3dbacked Yes | 77c | 502.79$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…8795backed Yes | 20c | 501.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 43c | 501$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 47c | 500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 20c | 499.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…418dbacked Yes | 19c | 497.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Yes | 79c | 475.08$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 76c | 474.01$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked No | 42c | 454.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.