TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$584,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes7c55,811$4,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,030.6835123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x362f…3113backed Yes2c39,927$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.7390%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes19c25,937$4,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,859.2110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6e6…c8dbbacked Yes13c20,737$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fc…0adebacked Yes2c15,389$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.1470%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c13,804$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.12922.1%6 W · 286 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ec…d630backed Yes6c12,821$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.14729.7%7 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…81d2backed Yes14c12,522$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.2780%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c68…f7d6backed Yes4c10,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-60.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes2c8,004$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8610313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes0c6,247$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f4…8e52backed Yes1c6,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.670%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes10c5,528$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes18c5,522$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af1…7b88backed Yes2c5,420$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.33414.7%5 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x294b…5a9fbacked Yes1c5,378$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c3…21a0backed Yes2c5,200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100230%0 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes9c4,893$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.8916729.3%49 W · 118 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes1c4,571$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.08480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0be…e7d4backed Yes2c4,348$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes1c3,978$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.58430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d6…01f9backed Yes7c2,831$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.67797.6%6 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes7c2,761$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.261483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c2,629$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.911,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0518…fb5ebacked Yes4c2,611$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes17c2,010$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.22205%1 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick26cpaid-90.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8f…b28dbacked Yes9c1,999$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes5c1,835$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100267.7%2 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-81%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c1,810$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8228113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes6c1,800$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.360%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57bc…cea7backed Yes2c1,500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe555…a91dbacked Yes1c1,375$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-91.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…e223backed Yes18c1,349$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.171040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked No77c1,138$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.811488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x535f…9667backed Yes8c1,020$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.78360%0 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b98…d011backed Yes4c1,000$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d60…cadebacked Yes6c1,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b16…a327backed Yes9c1,000$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73b7…7933backed Yes2c993.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.682821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf980…ce12backed Yes2c884.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15140%0 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes5c880$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.363823.7%9 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes4c788.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.48130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…f8e8backed Yes2c768.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9008…f3cebacked Yes10c619.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604723.4%11 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe3…883dbacked Yes11c576.43$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.31020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1945…749dbacked Yes18c514.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes5c493.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes15c463.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.156013.3%8 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…50c7backed Yes6c411.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25336.1%2 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-82.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…d142backed Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28333%1 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc484…4cd5backed Yes8c380$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.22100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes4c355$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.272910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffbb…0197backed Yes6c345.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes5c331.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32368.3%3 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-78.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc60…1a76backed Yes5c322.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d7…1c40backed Yes9c281.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e7…c90fbacked Yes8c270$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked No80c199.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408470.2%59 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d8…fb23backed Yes6c199.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…5adcbacked Yes10c189.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf826…c8a8backed Yes13c155$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da9…6d24backed Yes13c154.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes11c142.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156320.6%13 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a11…df01backed Yes7c140$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49d…f233backed Yes14c140$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50af…76f4backed Yes17c129.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1350%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa75…a864backed Yes12c121$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes14c107$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9840%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd083…d678backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff5…acecbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a7…00b1backed Yes16c85.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.662020%4 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…bfbebacked Yes14c75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b8…db4ebacked Yes15c70$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c9…6aa1backed Yes15c70$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x047f…79e9backed Yes15c70$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7950…05f4backed Yes15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd28…238dbacked Yes15c69.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd112…ec30backed Yes17c65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3446…57eebacked Yes16c65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…f094backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b9…0941backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.