Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde3e9c82625d8c63537a9952dd7d27a57b55d897f8729bb2c30b2a2e2337ef73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 43c | 13,810$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,003.24 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.68 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 18c | 4,813$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.08 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 65c | 4,449$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.74 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 30c | 3,295$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.08 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 70c | 3,231$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.31 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 22c | 2,685$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.89 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 41c | 1,929$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.12 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 36c | 1,433$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.62 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 52c | 1,245$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.82 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,003$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.73 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…6ef3backed Yes | 50c | 960$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 31c | 747.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.15 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 480$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 475.22$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.53 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked No | 61c | 452.79$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 18c | 434.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.85 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…e8c0backed No | 21c | 406.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed No | 4c | 401.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…c70ebacked No | 53c | 365.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…efccbacked Yes | 28c | 305.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3883…6bb0backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 69c | 281.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.43 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…1e46backed Yes | 79c | 265.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 72c | 226.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0538…c828backed No | 53c | 154.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e4…5aeabacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…fe22backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…9706backed Yes | 18c | 131.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 26c | 130$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…a051backed No | 42c | 119.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…ac29backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…3d54backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b5b4backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…4841backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…3af8backed Yes | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…9b4cbacked No | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…ddbcbacked Yes | 78c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…136dbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066b…4e8ebacked Yes | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 53c | 61.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed Yes | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 16cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed Yes | 43c | 47.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 56c | 46.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…91e5backed No | 46c | 37.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 57c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Yes | 48c | 34.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…c357backed Yes | 32c | 33.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 70c | 15.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.