TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9a5…2756

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+125%+$29.8
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+110%+$26
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+166.9%+$30.59
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$22.76
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+214%+$51.51
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.08
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.98
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.26
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.73
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$97.88
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+43.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.05
Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Philip Sekulicbacked Philip Sekulic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.42
Winnipeg: James McCabe vs Duncan Chanbacked Duncan Chan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$95.11
Winnipeg: Justin Boulais vs Johannus Mondaybacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.05
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212%+$145.5
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+243%+$301.64
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+252.6%+$36.43
Little Rock: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+149.8%+$53.2
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+203.2%+$31.92
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$34.05
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.29
Geneva Open: Francisco Comesana vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.4
Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$100.29
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$43.04
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Xiaodi Youbacked Francisca Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.32
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$15.06
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.39
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+535.4%+$207.16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$38.77
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.62
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.21
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$73.2
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.32
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$24.36
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.98
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$13.16
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+249.1%+$116.26
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+234.6%+$81.1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.43
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+151.7%+$36.58
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.86
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.46
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+494.9%+$165
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.89
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.37
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$41.6
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$37.46
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.46
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.01
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+165.7%+$19.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+395.1%+$120.03
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$30.79
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+70.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+92.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+136.1%+$23.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.