TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,084,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,083,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,084,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c319,831$156,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,426.1869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over51c235,789$120,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,536.6620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c200,000$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,00032653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over50c196,538$98,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,166.4210448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over52c70,000$36,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,6004951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Under50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c50,777$24,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,880.671,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,499.9214538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x293e…4717backed Under50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over51c37,811$19,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,527.541560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over50c32,391$16,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,195.311,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over49c30,478$14,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,543.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over50c29,349$14,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,674.57650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over32c20,322$6,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,798.4156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.9734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c17,913$8,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,956.4463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over49c15,075$7,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,688.2559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over51c14,132$7,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,967.7420155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over52c10,475$5,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.123729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c10,183$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,140.7955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a5bfbacked Under51c9,608$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over50c7,452$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.5724847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c7,070$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,654.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c7,069$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.431,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c6,382$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over50c5,980$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,99010645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaced…4132backed Under51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over14c5,299$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,557.1427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Over23c4,988$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,840.964738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under51c4,867$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.213641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under51c4,737$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.8532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c3,928$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.491,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.577963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over50c3,700$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.968848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over50c3,508$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.0223742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over75c3,309$2,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.5476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c3,145$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.531,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under50c3,057$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.283056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9910248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Over37c3,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.7443352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over49c2,772$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.0486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30026131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over50c2,288$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.958450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Over25c2,108$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.085425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over50c2,094$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.6765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c2,053$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Over49c2,040$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.332748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Over51c2,014$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.733256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02013642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over50c2,000$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.4443438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c1,940$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.642,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over20c1,900$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.331,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c1,765$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.7532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.718844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Over49c1,657$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.971034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under51c1,562$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.627143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over50c1,522$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7612857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74018444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c1,427$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.2256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over33c1,412$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.3252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over50c1,393$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.8168944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c1,380$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.2362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over50c1,338$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.9119958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under51c1,187$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.5959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over48c1,096$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.0993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c1,088$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.7834850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over46c1,077$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.6527549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Over52c1,052$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.6219653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under75c1,046$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.681,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9f…30b1backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5108348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76014334.3%49 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3499…60b5backed Over49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over49c999.95$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9814946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over79c949.82$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.072,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under51c936.6$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over50c920$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over49c912.74$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.8920154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Over50c905.2$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.62850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over20c867.37$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Under50c794.9$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.454839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over51c752.94$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9443453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.