TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers35c23,594$8,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,257.8672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks65c23,474$15,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,301.6220155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Knicks52c11,044$5,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,292.6338143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers50c10,833$5,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,466.081,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers36c9,796$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,545.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks65c8,127$5,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.6464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers73c5,030$3,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,665.0756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Knicks11c4,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.992437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Knicks51c4,500$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.973444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers45c3,744$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.8852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Knicks52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.625240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Knicks64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9669049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers47c2,188$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.9669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks64c2,000$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.632,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks51c1,977$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.628056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Cavaliers37c1,533$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.238451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks7c1,525$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cavaliers51c1,496$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers71c1,467$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.1553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers48c1,455$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.251,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks10c1,345$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Knicks63c1,255$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.815158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Knicks6c1,019$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.284738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks64c999.99$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Knicks56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44011946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks10c857.3$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.5725150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Knicks12c813.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.0126233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Cavaliers50c754.95$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8325840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Cavaliers38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Cavaliers46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks20c649.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.551,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Knicks35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4311558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers53c527.59$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.3242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Cavaliers37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18514338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Knicks65c476.92$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.926250%31 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Cavaliers73c368.5$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2691735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Knicks64c355.97$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1515649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks35c355.79$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks28c349.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6734255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Knicks52c336.94$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0318650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Cavaliers37c333.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0515759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Knicks63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.464949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers36c313.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Cavaliers48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.764734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40a2…844fbacked Knicks65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Knicks63c302.4$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8910954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Knicks62c277.53$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.469743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Cavaliers38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Cavaliers38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Knicks9c238$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.454463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Cavaliers36c233.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.027342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Knicks52c225.58$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.132948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Knicks65c211.65$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.086456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…d60abacked Knicks53c211.21$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.271723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+42.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Cavaliers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers44c201.05$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Knicks63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7495848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0899…0507backed Knicks10c183.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers36c182.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.141,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Knicks55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.829663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers43c181.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers43c181.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef55…588cbacked Knicks11c176.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+278.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks10c155$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Cavaliers36c154.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cavaliers62c153$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997e…54f5backed Knicks65c150.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers53c143.16$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Cavaliers10c141.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4727463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Cavaliers50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Cavaliers49c139.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb035…d989backed Knicks52c138.85$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Cavaliers49c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.44050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Knicks62c118.3$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.511,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Knicks50c116.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4247856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers36c111.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.141,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers36c109.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.891,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Knicks52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Knicks32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Knicks55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Cavaliers36c87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3210545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Knicks58c86.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.343164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf9…6370backed Cavaliers36c86.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3132733.9%111 W · 216 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Cavaliers38c79.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3716230.9%50 W · 112 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers34c79.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Knicks65c77.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0924147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Knicks63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.433551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cavaliers53c70.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Knicks49c70.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0237848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x846e…c22abacked Cavaliers38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Knicks52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4630945.3%140 W · 169 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks65c57.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3518445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cavaliers37c57.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1718653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Knicks45c57.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.910247.1%48 W · 54 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Knicks66c56.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.258846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Cavaliers55c54.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7310152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27dd…e918backed Knicks65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.774656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Cavaliers43c50.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5410746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Cavaliers43c50.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5410743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.