TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks16c4,830$765 inLost-$765.1912741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks18c2,000$360 inLost-$359.9958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks17c1,896$328 inLost-$327.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Cavaliers77c1,300$1,001 inWon+$298.9436453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks4c1,050$42 inLost-$4242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Cavaliers79c764.29$600 inWon+$164.2911261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Knicks20c502.95$100 inLost-$99.871346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Knicks20c500.25$100 inLost-$10024731.2%77 W · 170 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks20c500$100 inLost-$10018643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers80c397.74$318 inWon+$79.5566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Cavaliers76c328.6$250 inWon+$78.5836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Knicks11c304.6$32 inLost-$32.2725840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Knicks19c248.47$47 inLost-$47.215332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Knicks30c244.6$72 inLost-$72.224946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Knicks12c200$24 inLost-$241,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks18c189.07$34 inLost-$34.3752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Knicks20c165$33 inLost-$332748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x165a…bd31backed Knicks11c154.55$17 inLost-$17250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…ad72backed Cavaliers75c133.33$100 inWon+$33.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks11c108.05$12 inLost-$11.6153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Knicks18c100$18 inLost-$1810148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Knicks20c74.75$15 inLost-$14.952369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+56.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f7d…2cabbacked Knicks15c74.31$11 inLost-$10.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9f…33b5backed Knicks22c68.56$15 inLost-$14.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Knicks50c60$30 inLost-$3040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Cavaliers50c60$30 inWon+$302245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Knicks23c57.63$13 inLost-$13.257950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Knicks20c50$10 inLost-$1022453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Knicks20c50$10 inLost-$1014357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Knicks25c40$10 inLost-$1021640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4199…50a5backed Cavaliers79c39.25$31 inWon+$8.243369.7%23 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.